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A
nice 4-2-1 week in Week 6 has me on the up and
up, but I'll need two solid winners in a row if I want
to even think about smelling a winning streak.
I've got the early lines in and this is how I
think I'm going to do it.
Atlanta
Falcons (+9) @ New
Orleans Saints:
(Line: Thursday, 3:30am EST: Bookmaker)
I
don't care who is quarterbacking the Falcons, they've
had a crappy passing attack in every single game except
one all season long. The Leftwich change doesn't do
much. Joey wasn't as bad as people made him out to be,
his receiving corps left him out to dry. Anyway, maybe
Leftwich will give the Falcons a chance to get deep,
who knows. What I do know is that the Falcons defense
has played good football for most of the season, and
they'll show up to play the Saints, they always do.
What has New Orleans done to deserve 9? And the public
still likes the Saints? I don't buy it. In fact, I'm
selling it. Take the Falcons, they have great value
at +9.
Baltimore Ravens
(-3) @ Buffalo
Bills:
(Line: Monday, 1:30pm EST: Bookmaker)
Trent
Edwards may eventually be the Jim Kelly golden boy the
Bills organization has been dream of since Jim hung
it up, but I don't like rookie quarterback against the
Ravens. That is what you'd call a bad match-up. The
public loves this bet, everyone and their mother is
taking the Ravens, but I don't see it any other way.
You either take the Ravens, or you don't take it at
all. I wouldn't advise a huge play on Baltimore, if
only because the books really seem to like the Bills
in this one, but hey, I personally think the books are
wrong.
New
England Patriots (-16.5) @ Miami
Dolphins:
(Line: Monday, 1:30pm EST: Bookmaker)
I
know Cleo Lemon looked good last week against Cleveland,
but give your head a shake if you think the youngster
will do up the Patriots secondary. I know the Patriots
have yet another college spread to cover, but compared
to New England, yeah, the Dolphins are a college team.
For those Dolphin backers out there, how can you bet
on a team that traded their top receiving threat for
a 2nd round pick next season, and waived the only safety
that was making any plays in their secondary. Look at
that starting secondary and tell me they are going to
slow down Tom Brady… While I'm waiting, I'll be
laying some cash down on the Patriots.
Tennessee
Titans @ Houston
Texans (+1.5):
(Line: Thursday, 3:30am EST: Bookmaker)
Look
at this one on Sunday Morning. If the Titans are starting
Vince Young, take the Titans, he's just not a good guy
to wager against. However, I'll just bite the bullet
and take the Texans, because even with Vince, the Titans
aren't a sure thing. But with Kerry Collins throwing
balls in Tennessee, I really like the Texans chances
to move ahead of the Titans here. Matt Schaub is coming
off a couple bad games, and I think he'll turn it around
this week at home.
N.Y.
Jets (+7) @ Cincinnati
Bengals:
(Line: Thursday, 3:30am EST: 5Dimes)
I
don't buy the Bengals as a 7 point favorite. I think
Cinci's defense is bad enough to allow Chad Pennington
to have a big day, which does not bode well for the
Bengals. I also think Thomas Jones could rush for about
150 yards in Cinci this week. It will be a high scoring
affair, I can almost guarantee you that. The Bengals
don't have much of a rushing attack, and I think that
will be the dagger in their covering hearts. Look at
it this way; the only team the Bengals have beat is
an overrated Ravens team, and they only won because
the Ravens turned the ball over 6 times. I can't wait
to watch this game on Sunday.
Chicago
Bears @ Philadelphia
Eagles (-4.5):
(Line: Monday, 1:30pm EST: Bookmaker -4.5)
I
don't like this game at all. If I didn't take every
game, I would leave this one alone. I want to take the
Bears, because the Eagles have been, well, frankly crappy.
I want to take the Eagles because the Bears have been
brutal all season long, minus one half against the Packers.
Anyway, I'm taking the home team here, because I think
the Eagles defense will be too much for Brian Griese
to handle. A couple Rexxy-like interceptions in this
one will probably be enough to cover. I advise you to
sit this one out, but if you're picking your weekly
office pool, and need to lean one way or another, take
the Eagles because of their defensive strength.
St. Louis Rams
@ Seattle Seahawks
(-8.5):
(Line: Thursday, 3:30am EST: Belmont)
The
Seahawks are the better team here. The Rams defense
is brutal. Their offense is worse. They don't have the
bulk to out-muscle a relatively soft Hawks defensive
front, and when Marc Bulger goes back to pass, his offensive
line full of back-ups won't give him nearly enough time
to pick apart the Seahawks. I also don't think the Hawks
will struggle at home again after the Saints embarrassed
them last week. This is usually where the Hawks step
it up, and I think they'll do just that this week at
home.
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