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Week 5 wasn't bad, but I've yet to hit a week
right on the head. I have a feeling this is going to
be that week. I haven't changed anything up, and I'm
sticking to my rules, which means I'm about to get right
back on track. Follow my games, and if my Free
Picks aren't enough, dial up my Elite
Action for this Sunday's games.
Minnesota
Vikings (+6) @ Chicago
Bears:
(Line: Tuesday, 6:00pm EST: Bodog)
I
think the Vikings and Bears are right about equal. Before
the season, I didn't think the Bears looked as good
as they have been, and then injuries flooded that secondary.
The Vikings are pretty healthy, and come in with a formidable
rushing attack that will definitely put pressure on
the Bears' defensive front. Adrian Peterson (the Vikings
version, not the Bears') is an absolute beast. The Packers
showed that the Bears can be run on, and I think the
Vikings will take note. With Chester Taylor working
in tandem with Peterson, they'll both stay fresh and
pound this game to a close finish.
St.
Louis Rams (+10) @ Baltimore
Ravens:
(Line: Tuesday, 6:00pm EST: NewBodog)
I
think Gus Frerote can lead the Rams to enough scoring
drives to put pressure on the Ravens. The Ram O-Line
seems to be playing better together, and that is what
this game will rely on. I like the Ravens to win this
one, but giving Baltimore a 10 point hole to dig out
of seems like a poor wager. The Ravens have been bad
(at least) offensively, and touchdowns have been very
hard to come by. 10 points, even the pathetic Rams can
give than spread a test. I like them to make a play
late to finish just within the spread, giving me a big
underdog win.
Tennessee
Titans @ Tampa
Bay Buccaneers (-2.5):
(Line: Thursday, 5:00pm EST: BetEd)
After
getting embarrassed last week by the Colts, Tampa should
be back in full force on Sunday. I like all aspects
of the Bucs' team. They have a defense that hustles
to the ball and makes tackles. They have an offense
that doesn't do anything great, but holds on to the
ball for long periods of time, and Jeff Garcia is a
leader. He makes very few mistakes, and accurately throws
the ball. Tennessee has been doing well lately, as their
only loss came against Indy. This game means something
to both teams, but I'm going with the home team to cover
by a field goal.
Washington
Redskins @ Green
Bay Packers (-3):
(Line: Tuesday, 5:00pm EST: Bookmaker)
This
is a very tough game, one of those I wouldn't pick if
I didn't pick every single game. I think the Packers
and Redskins are basically the same team. They both
have tough defenses and thus far have been pretty one-dimensional
offensively. The Packers pass the ball successfully,
while most of the Redskins' yards come on the ground.
Over the last 2 games, Campbell has cut down on mistakes,
but the Packers might just force him into an interception
or two. The Packers didn't run the ball well to start
the season, but they'll have Jackson, Morency, and Wynn
healthy for the first time this season. I think this
game goes to the Packers at home, but it's a tough one
to call, one I'd stay away from.
Oakland
Raiders @ San
Diego Chargers (-9.5):
(Line: Tuesday, 5:00pm EST: Bookmaker)
I
just think LT has an LT day against the Raiders, and
the Chargers win 28-14. That covers, not by a lot, but
a cover is a cover. Phillip Rivers has looked decent
enough lately to keep the Raiders' honest, and Oakland's
defense hasn't been as good this year as they were last
time around. I know its hard to justify taking the Chargers
after just one good game, but defensively they were
so much better last week. Plus, I wasn't one to buy
the Chargers' demise quite yet. A win here puts them
back in first place in the AFC West.
New
Orleans Saints @ Seattle
Seahawks (-6.5):
(Line: Tuesday, 5:00pm EST: Bookmaker)
This
Sunday Night game won't quite have the hype it looked
like it would have coming into the season. The Saints
have been pathetic when compared to pathetic teams,
and thus are winless coming into Seattle. I was convinced
that New Orleans would start to play better, but after
last week's lost to the terrible Panthers, I'm not so
sure. And coming into Seattle where the crowd always
makes it tough on opposing offenses, plus they have
to go up against a very tough defense led by Julian
Peterson and Lofa - yeah, I have to take the Hawks here,
even with that near-touchdown cushion they are giving.
Houston
Texans @ Jacksonville
Jaguars (-6.5):
(Line: Tuesday, 5:00pm EST: Bookmaker)
The
Jaguars are the better team here. They make fewer mistakes,
they run the ball better, and their defense is more
of a force. I know Houston started out hot, and this
game is usually close, but because of the way Houston
has been playing, I don't see the Jaguars looking past
this game like they have in the past. David Garrard
may not be flashy, but he wins football games. A 10
point win here looks like the right choice. Andre Johnson
isn't back yet, so that's one more thing going right
for the Jaguars.
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