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Week 12 starts early, and I'm going for 3 big winners
is a row with my Free Picks. All the Thanks
Giving Day games are free for your wagering pleasure,
good Luck to you all! Check my current records, and
reviews, I'm rocking it lately!
Thanks
Giving Day Games - Home field advantage? I sure
hope not, or I'm going to look silly this Thursday!
3 Free games on a day where most of you go to family
gatherings and plunder free eats - you have to feel
good about that!
Green
Bay Packers (-3) @ Detroit
Lions:
(Line: Tuesday, 3:00am EST: Bookmaker)
I
know Brett doesn't play well in Domes, and the Lions
should step up their game after a couple losses leave
them reeling. I also know that the Lions "need"
this game a whole hell of a lot more than the Packers.
However, because I'm sick of reading too much into games,
I'm going to go ahead and take the team I think is way
better than the other team. The Packers have moved up
a notch since they found their consistent rushing attack.
And while Ryan Grant sprained an ankle in the Packers
last game, it looks like he's going to play. Overall,
the Packers have a better offense, a stronger running
game, and a much more potent defensive unit. I'll take
the Packers as a field goal favorite on Turkey Day.
New
York Jets (+15) @ Dallas
Cowboys:
(Line: Tuesday, 3:00am EST: 5Dimes)
My
first gut feeling was to take the Cowboys in this one,
but the spread moved over two touchdowns, and I think
the Jets have been playing good enough ball to give
the Cowboys a scare in the holiday game. In the end,
the Jets defense will be too porous for Dallas, but
this game just has the feel of an odd game. The Jets
have to have more confidence after their overtime win
over the Steelers, and I believe they are a much better
team than their 2-8 record indicates. Clemens opens
up their offense and gives more room to their running
game. Thomas Jones should have a decent day against
Dallas, something that the Cowboys rarely surrender.
Indianapolis
Colts (-11) @ Atlanta
Falcons:
(Line: Tuesday, 3:00am EST: TheGreek)
The
Colts are missing more than a few key players, and no,
I don't think Magic Marvin will be back to help his
quarterback for this one. However, I do know that even
on a bad day with a few backups in, the Colts are two
touchdowns better than the Falcons. Atlanta's win streak
is over, and I'm sure Peyton Manning is waiting to shut
all these idiots up that are saying, "All you have
to do is pressure Manning, and he'll have bad games."
He's played poorly of late, but I just have a feeling,
he'll turn things around against the hapless Falcons
in the late game this Thanks Giving.
The
rest of the Free Picks to follow shortly. I hope
you all have a great holiday with friends and family
this thanksgiving and a special shout out to the troops
who can't make it home in time for this thanksgiving,
I know what I will be thankful for once again this year.
Week
12 Free NFL Picks
I'd
love 12 wins in Week 12, for my wallet, and for the
cool 12 in 12 reference. Anyway, this is what I have,
and that's already 2 wins from Thanks Giving's games
- so 10 more to go. 7 more picks for Sunday's action,
making that 10 free picks this week. Enjoy, and lets
have another big week!
Sunday's
Games
Denver
Broncos (+2.5) @ Chicago
Bears:
(Line: Tuesday, 3:00am EST: SBG Global)
I
like the way Denver is moving, and I'm not sold on the
Bears attempts to revitalize their season. Defensively,
they just aren't good enough. Offensively, they still
aren't running the ball with much effectiveness, and
that combination of things probably won't get them too
many wins as the season wraps up. The Broncos are now
right in the chase for a playoff spot, and this is a
team that is improving. I don't like the fact that they
gave up 300+ yards to Vince Young, yikes, but I'm going
to have to take them over the Bears here.
Tennessee
Titans (-1) @ Cincinnati
Bengals:
(Line: Tuesday, 3:00am EST: Belmont)
Please,
this game might as well be a freebee. The Titans are
much tougher than the Bengals. They'll run all over
them, and Vince Young will probably have a decent day
through the air. More importantly, unless the Bengals
morph into a different team, I don't see their offense
putting up many points against the Titans, either. Cincinnati
is consistently mediocre at home, and this game will
be no different. Take the Titans to win here, most likely
in a very comfortable manor.
Minnesota
Vikings (+8) @ New
York Giants:
(Line: Thursday, 11:50pm EST: 5Dimes)
I
don't like the Giants, and I think the Vikings powerful
rushing attack will finally give other teams the recipe
to make the Giants defensive front full of defensive
end speed rushers suffer. Call it hopeful thinking,
but the Giants haven't played well enough to be 8 point
favorites over anybody. I know, I know, their record
is good - give it up, the dream is dead, and when they
sneak into the playoffs, they'll lose early. Take the
Vikings here.
Buffalo
Bills @ Jacksonville
Jaguars (-7.5):
(Line: Tuesday, 3:00am EST: Bookmaker)
The
Bills have begun their fade into obscurity, and no,
it's not JP Losman's fault. Marshawn Lynch looks like
he's going to miss his 2nd game this season, and that's
not helping the Bills' cause. David Garrard is a winner,
and the Bills have proven, that if opposing offenses
don't make big mistakes, they can rarely put the ball
in the end zone. Well, unfortunately for them, and fortunately
for me, David Garrard doesn't make painful mistakes,
and the duo of MJD and Fred Taylor might just run roughshod
on the Bills front 7.
Oakland
Raiders @ Kansas
City Chiefs (-5):
(Line: Tuesday, 3:00am EST: Bookmaker)
This
game stinks. LJ is out, Priest retired agains, and Marcus
Allen has long since retired… Needless to say,
this game is tough to pick. I have to take the Chiefs
at home if only because of their famed home field advantage
and the fact that Oakland shouldn't be abel to win anywhere.
There's not much firepower on either of these teams
right now, bu thte Chiefs have a very underrated defense,
so I have to roll the dice on them.
Philadelphia
Eagles @ New
England Patriots (-22):
(Line: Tuesday, 3:00am EST: Bookmaker)
I
had to say it out loud in front of the mirror 3 times,
but I will not bet against the Patriots. I've never
wanted to go the other way more than I do right now,
22 points is absurd - I can never remember a spread
being this high in my entire NFL capping career. But
then again, this game throws up some interesting questions
for me. I either think the Eagles will get absolutely
destroyed, making the spread look realistic, or play
the Patriots down to the last snap, losing or winning
a final play-type thing. Will McNabb play? Will he sit?
Will the Patriots continue their offensive relentlessness?
Or will they tone it down on the holiday weekend? I'm
putting my money on lots of Eagle turnovers, no rushing
attack, and a Tom Brady highlight film. If that's the
case, why not a 4 touchdown victory? Still, there is
no value in taking the Patriots here. But I have to.
Monday
Night Football Game
Miami
Dolphins @ Pittsburgh
Steelers (-16):
(Line: Tuesday, 3:00am EST: Bookmaker)
The
Steelers have to be sick to their stomachs that they
lost to the freaking Jets last week. They are a much
better home team than they are on the road, and I'll
even go as far as to say they could play the Patriots
tough on a good day. They'll be playing on Monday Night,
with a chance to show the Nation that last week's stumble
was a fluke, and that they really are a championship
caliber team. The Dolphins, as unfortunate for them
as it is, will be the whipping boy in this one, and
I wouldn't be even a little bit stunned if the Steelers
pitched a shutout in this one, in the 35-0 model. 16
points is a Patriot spread, but I think the Steelers,
at home, deserve that against the pathetic Dolphins.
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