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Week
3 was another downer, but there were some good
calls out there, some sure things that ended up working
out, just too many bad bounces and disappointing lines
to make me a happy man. And how about pushes? I can't
stand the damn things. 3-5-1 doesn't win you
any money does it? Stay tuned for a winner in Week
4.
Arizona
Cardinals (+9) @ Baltimore
Ravens: (win)
It took a little magic from the Old Kurt Warner, but
in the end, the Cardinals covered with ease. In fact,
after being way down, Arizona came back to tie it, and
the Ravens needed a very bad unnecessary roughness penalty
to get into field goal range. From there, it was all
Matt Stover, and a win for the Ravens. But, the Cardinals
continue to show they won't quit, and they could figure
it all out and be a force in the NFC West this season.
Buffalo Bills
(+17) @ New
England Patriots: (loss)
"I've thought long and hard about this one, a testament
to how good the Patriots really are. But I've come to
the conclusion that Vegas was sick of the Patriots covering
every spread they threw at them, so they decided to
throw this wrench in on gamblers." Well, I should
have bought into this action, knowing that the difference
between the Patriots and Bills is similar to the Florida
Gators and Temple Owls. I couldn't take a 17 point spread,
and I hope I don't have to bet against the Patriots
again, but hell, 17 points - I guess I should stick
to my new philosophy, always bet on the Patriots.
Detroit
Lions @ Philadelphia
Eagles (-6): (win)
"I guess I'm still expecting the real Eagles to
come out and throw the ball around and dominate a football
game. The Lions and their playoff guarantee are coming
to town, so I think this is the perfect time for McNabb
to snap out of his funk. There is no secondary in football
that has more wide open spaces in it than the one from
Detroit. Look for McNabb to bust the 300 yard mark in
this one as the Eagles finally get a win." Well,
I didn't say that the Eagles would put up 56, but I
did say they would get a win, and that McNabb would
look good against the Lions secondary. Don't say that
nobody predicted his big day, it was coming, and I got
it on the nose.
Jacksonville
Jaguars @ Denver
Broncos (-3.5): (loss)
Look back at my picks to see how bad I got this one
wrong. The Jaguars looked like playoff material, dominating
the Broncos, and believe me, the score was a lot closer
than the game looked. Travis Henry couldn't find room,
and the Jaguars young secondary looked much better than
Weeks 1 and 2. I was wrong, yeah, I'll own it.
Miami Dolphins
@ N.Y. Jets
(-3.5): (loss)
"The Jets are the better team of the two. Trent
Green isn't a good quarterback anymore, and the Dolphins
running attack isn't even close to what Cam Cameron
was hoping to install early in his head coaching career."
Well, I got the first two right on the button. The third,
well, that kept the Dolphins around just enough to cover.
I hope you all pushed, because this line was down to
3 by the start of the game. I lost, and now I'm crying
about it. I hate half point losses.
San
Francisco 49ers (+10) @ Pittsburgh
Steelers: (loss)
"The 49ers have enough talent to play with any
team in the league." And they did, through 3 quarters.
The Niners really bit the dust donw the stretch, and
Alex Smith, who looked good in the pre-season, looked
bad once again. The Steeler's defense was too good to
let the 49ers mount any type of comeback, and Pittsburgh
put up 20 4th quarter points to cover easily. Remember,
I was looking like a smart man when the Steelers were
up 8 after 3 quarters. Then those Niners made me look
bad. Dang Niners.
St.
Louis Rams @ Tampa
Bay Buccaneers (-3.5): (win)
Steven Jackson got over the 100 yard mark, but he needed
30 carries to do so, and the Rams were pretty much out
of this game by half time. Marc Bulger looked just as
bad as Drew Brees did on Monday Night Football, well
not that bad, but bad - and the Rams look like the really
bad team that they were in about 4 separate weeks last
season. I'm interested to see which team will step out
of their crap hole first, the Rams or the Saints - both
have lots of problems. No doubt about that.
Cincinnati
Bengals @ Seattle
Seahawks (-3): (push)
A push - Yee… Haw! The Hawks beat the Bengals,
I should get a point for that, right? No, nice, I'll
just take a fat tie, with everything resting on the
Saints going in to Monday Night Football. Uh oh.
Tennessee
Titans @ New
Orleans Saints (-4): (loss)
"I like the Saints to come back from down in the
dumps on Monday Night Football. New Orleans has played
very poorly this season, losing all momentum from a
year ago. So now its up to them to get things going
again, and from the looks of it, that's when the Saints
are at there best. Vince Young is great, (and a spread
killer by the way - so watch out for this one) but I
don't think he's a good enough passer to fully take
advantage of the Saints problematic secondary,"
(Me) I was right about some things and wrong about others,
the problem is, I was wrong about the pick - which makes
me just wrong. I was definitely wrong about the Saints
being at their best - I'm not sure when that is supposed
to happen, but it doesn't look good. I was right that
they've played poorly, and that you should watch out
for this one because Vince Young is a spread killer
(he has 2 ATS losses in his pro career). I was also
wrong that Vince isn't a polished enough passer to take
advantage of the Saints defensive secondary. Actually,
who cares, the could have throw twice and won this game.
The Saints can't tackle, and thus they lose. What can
I say? Don't expect a team to morph into something they
aren't. Write that down.
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