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Last
week was another push for Lucky Lester. I picked some
great victories, but couldn't find a happy place with
those tweener games. This week I went all the way to
the boondocks of Montucky for my Week Six insight. That's
right, my famous professional card playing Aunt P and
Uncle Bruceage have been obliterating the books in their
pick'em league, and taking home the cash pot with sweet
grins. We disagree on some games in Week 6, but you
can't argue with success. Follow along as I do my damnedest
to make sense of Auntie P's Picks.
New
York Giants (+3.5) @ Dallas Cowboys - I couldn't
agree more. The Cowboys are getting way too much credit
for the Eagles tumble off the sanity tree. Don't be
confused, the Cowboys aren't that good. Eli Manning
has had two weeks to prepare for Bill Parcells' average
defensive unit, and he'll make the best of it. Jeremy
Shockey loves to bring it to the Cowboys, and especially
to Bill Parcells. Tiki Barber will have one of his better
weeks against a secondary that should be scared of Shockey
and Plaxico Burress. The Giant defense will do just
enough to upset Jerry Jones' Dallas Cowboys in a big
divisional game.
Game Date: 10/16/05 13:00 ET
Carolina
Panthers (+1) @ Detroit Lions -Neither Aunt P or
I can imagine how the oddsmakers came up with this joke
of a spread. Those Lions haven't sucked since the Chicago
Bear game in Week 2. We both agree; they're due! Look
for the Panthers to take a week off from their bad habit
of playing to the level of their opponents and kick
the Lions right under the tail. Don't expect much from
Joey Harrington without Roy Williams in the lineup.
Do, however, expect the Panthers to shut down Kevin
Jones, using 8 and 9 players in the box. Jake Delhomme
will find Steve Smith again and again on route to a
big point differential. Game Date: 10/16/05 13:00
ET
Atlanta
Falcons (-5) @ New Orleans Saints - Can the Saints
rebound against a good Falcon team who almost took down
the defending champs without Mike Vick to lead them?
P says, "No chance in Hellgate!" and I couldn't
say it better myself. Mike Vick might be back for this
game, but even if he doesn't make it, Matt Schaub will
have his way with the bandaged up New Orleans squad.
Watch Warrick Dunn run wild in San Antonio.
Game Date: 10/16/05 13:00 ET
Minnesota
Vikings (+3) @ Chicago Bears - I think Penny Auntie
took a shot in the dark with this one, though she says
this pick is as good as gold. She hates the Vikings
and Culpepper more than anything, yet still can't imagine
the Vikings losing to the Kyle Orton led Bears. P thinks
Daunte will play better, and Mewelde Moore will out
perform 1st Round Pick Cedric Benson as he starts with
Thomas Jones on the mend. I think she might be on to
something, and you can't really argue with Aunt P anyway;
she slaps harder than Rick James. Game Date: 10/16/05
13:00 ET
Jacksonville
Jaguars (+6) @ Pittsburgh Steelers - The Jaguars
in Pittsburgh? "The Steelers are ready to lose,"
says Aunt P. I think the Jaguars are one of the best
teams in this league, but so are the Steelers. The Jaguars
always play tight with good teams, so the spread is
on my side… I like that. With Big Ben unsure if
he's going to play or watch, Byron Leftwich might be
ready to take advantage of this chance to prove he's
one of the league's best young guns. Fred Taylor needs
to find room for this upset to take place. Take the
Jaguars and the points in Pittsburgh.
Game Date: 10/16/05 13:00 ET
Washington
Redskins @ Kansas City Chiefs (-5.5) - The Redskins
were three points away from going 4-0, but they couldn't
convert the two-pointer. Mark Brunell threw for 322
yards. He won't approach those numbers in Kansas City.
Look for the Redskins to take a step back toward reality
this week as they get tortured by a tough Kansas City
team that looks hungry for a win after their bye. The
Chiefs have to win this game if they want to be taken
seriously. Tony Gonzalez will have his best game of
the year against the tough Redskin D, putting rumors
that he's washed up to rest. Priest Holmes is ready
to explode, so watch the Chiefs dominate.
Game Date: 10/16/05 13:00 ET
Cincinnati
Bengals (-3) @ Tennessee Titans - The Bengals are
P's pick in this one. I'm with her. How can the Titan
defense stop Carson Palmer, Chad Johnson, and Rudi Johnson?
Let me take a page out of Chad Johnson's book…
they can't. They can't guard him. My hope is that Adam
Jones has to guard Chad. You'll see Jones' mouth moving
before the play, then Johnson will catch a touchdown
pass, then Adams mouth will take a nice little rest
with his ass on the bench. Take the Bengals in a blowout.
Game Date: 10/16/05 13:00 ET
Cleveland
Browns @ Baltimore Ravens (-5.5) - I have to
be honest I kind of like the Browns in this one. I've
lost all hope in the Ravens, but as Penelope says, "Lester,
you give up on teams too early." She's got a point.
All she says is, "The Browns suck," but maybe
she sees the same Ravens I've been trying to see since
the season started. Maybe she sees Jamal Lewis finally
starting to play like the 2000 yard back from two years
ago. Maybe she sees a Cleveland Brown team who game
up 295 rushing yards to Lewis in one game. She probably
sees a defensive unit with Ray Lewis, Chris McCallister,
Ed Reed, Deion, and a plethora of great supporting players
like Suggs and Kelly Gregg. And she's right, if that
team comes to play on Sunday, the Cleveland Browns don't
stand a chance. I'll take that bet!
Game Date: 10/16/05 13:00 ET
Miami
Dolphins @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5) - The
Tampa Bay Buccaneers took one on the chin when Vinny
Testeverde walked onto the field and gave them their
first defeat of the season. Well they're going to be
back in full force against Miami. Do you think Cadillac
Williams wants to show up his former teammate at Auburn,
Ronnie Brown? Brown was picked ahead of Williams, but
it was Williams who burst onto the scenes the first
three games. The last two weeks it's Brown who has been
running the ball well. Who will it be? Brown or Williams?
I think Gruden does a great job of finding places for
Carnell to succeed. He'll continue that when Williams
returns to the field this weekend. This game also marks
the return of Ricky Williams. The Buc's should shut
the Miami offense down. Look for Gus Frerotte to have
a tough go as Tampa Bay controls this game from the
get.
Game Date: 10/16/05 13:00 ET
New
England Patriots @ Denver Broncos (-3) - Let
me say this, I hate the Broncos. I don't see them winning
this game. I don't see them making the playoffs. Now
let me say this. They are 4-1. They get Champ Bailey
back in full health this week. Since their loss to Miami,
they haven't lost another game. Jake Plummer has played
like chicken feed all season and they're still on top
of the league. Maybe I'm wrong! P thinks the same old
same old will continue this week. "The Broncos
will be 5-1." Is it possible for the Broncos to
have more wins than their quarterback has touchdowns?
The Patriots pulled out a big one in Atlanta… but
maybe they're too banged up to play that way every week.
Tom Brady will have a big game, but we're taking the
Broncos to shut down the Patriot rushing attack and
cause turnovers often. Those Broncos are always tough
at home.
Game Date: 10/16/05 16:15 ET
San
Diego Chargers (-2) @ Oakland Raiders - The Raiders
are better than their record, but not as good as the
Chargers. Ladainian Tomlinson will be the first running
back that handles the Raider defensive front. He's too
explosive for those old farts. Aunt P says the Raiders
have a running shot it this one, but she has to go with
the Chargers to rebound from their Monday Night defeat.
I'm with her. Randy Moss will explode as will Jerry
Porter. But it will be the Chargers who find themselves
on top by games end. Kerry Collins will help the cause
with a couple turnovers late in the second half.
Game Date: 10/16/05 16:15 ET
New
York Jets @ Buffalo Bills (-3) - The Jets can
win games with Vinny at quarterback. But they won't
beat the Bills because Kelly Holcomb will make enough
plays with his arm to take the game in Buffalo. This
is a game between two of the leagues premier defenses.
So expect a shootout! That's right. Take the tiny over
in this game and surprise the world. The Bills will
score two late touchdowns to blow open the game. Willis
McGahee will have a nice game against a stout Jets team,
but the Bills will get their third win of the year.
Game Date: 10/16/05 16:15 ET
Houston
Texans @ Seattle Seahawks (-9.5) - "The
Texans? I don't care how many points they are getting!
The USC Trojans would beat the Texans!" Note to
self: Aunt P can be a little violent from time to time
when you ask her to think about all the points the Seahawks
are giving up. Stick with the hot hand I guess. The
Seahawks finally took down their arch rival St. Louis
Rams last weekend, ending a season long drought that
took them out of the playoffs last year. P says they'll
be fired up to continue their winning ways at home against
the top-pick bound Houston Texans. "They should
stop rooting for the Texans, and start rooting more
Reggie Bush!" I think they should start rooting
for linemen. Either way, we're taking the Hawks in a
Seattle blowout. Game Date: 10/16/05 20:30 ET
St.
Louis Rams (-13.5) @ Indianapolis Colts - The Rams
are pathetic, but the Colts haven't really beat the
snot out of any team this year. I don't count the Alex
Smith led 49ers. In fact, besides the Jaguars, the Colts
haven't played a good team yet. And counting the Jags,
they haven't played an explosive offensive team yet.
The Rams can be explosive. Expect Steven Jackson to
eclipse the 25 carries mark, with Mike Martz off the
sidelines. If the Rams can do that, they have a chance
to deal the Colts their first defeat. Aunt P boasts,
"The Colts are ready to lose!" I don't know
if they're as ready as she thinks, but the question
may be, is their defense ready to defend the greatest
show on turf? The Rams will be ready, will the Colts?
Game Date: 10/17/05 21:00 ET
Big
Bet Of The Week
Take
the Giants to win outright in Dallas for a nifty +150
payout. Giants are rested and ready to put down an erratic
Cowboy team.
WAGERING
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Luck with your NFL Football Betting!
Lucky Lester - Free
Football Picks
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