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Alone!
Is
it possible that the away teams will win 12 of 14 games
this week? I sure hope so. I've taken the underdog in
eight games and the away team in twelve. These are both
season highs for me, so get ready for a season high
in the win column. After another week of mediocrity
(7-7) I'm primed for a big breakout performance that
will bring me up and over the .500 plateau. An epic
home team disaster is on the way. Don't drink and drive!
Chicago
@ Cleveland (-3) - The Bears and Browns were
both off in Week 4. Many are saying the bye week will
help Kyle Orton get used to the NFL, but I'm here to
say that won't happen. All a bye week does for a rookie
is allow him to think more about his mistakes. Kyle
will do much better when he gets into the swing of things
and doesn't have enough time to think about anything,
just play football. Trent Dilfer has been very accurate
for the Browns, and he'll need to continue that if he
wants to win his first home game in a Browns uniform.
The Browns will find it tough to dent the Bears powerful
defensive unit, but big mistakes by the Bears will allow
Cleveland to pull it off late. Game Date: 10/09/05
13:00 ET
New
Orleans (+3) @ Green Bay - The Packers shouldn't
be favored against anybody. The Packers can't do just
enough to beat me this week, as they can't make me lose
without winning the game. God knows they're not prepared
to do that. My good friend lives in Green Bay, and he
told me "I've never see more grown men cry than
when the Packers got beat by the Browns in Lambeau."
Tears should continue to poor like the Fox River as
Joe Horn will come back from injury and terrorize Al
Harris and the Packer secondary. Look for Aaron Brooks
to have his biggest statistical game of the year as
the Saints upset the Pack. Game Date: 10/09/05 13:00
ET
Tampa
Bay (-3) @ New York Jets - The Buccaneers got lucky
against Detroit last week. Marcus Pollard's knee supposedly
went out of bounds before he controlled the ball and
Mike Williams' right pinky toe nicked the left sideline
in the end zone as the Buc's literally won by an inch.
But you take them when you can get them, and everyone
and their mother knows, this is the time to take them
from the Jets. Cadillac Williams is bruised and possibly
out for this game, but back up runner Michael Pittman
is no slouch. The Jets will have their hands full, with
or without Carnell in the lineup. Look for Joey Galloway
to make more big-plays as Tampa Bay takes out the Jets
in New York.
Game Date: 10/09/05 13:00 ET
Seattle
(+3) @ St. Louis - The Seahawks never win in St.
Louis. Hell, the Hawks never beat the Rams no matter
where the game is played. Little known fact, the Rams
are always out to surprise their viewers. Last week
they got destroyed by the New York Giants, but the Rams
always play well at home. Ha! That's what they want
you to think. Don't let them fool you. They will lose
to Seattle this week. There's no question in my mind.
Shaun Alexander will rush for over 100 yards without
much of a defense to get in his way. When Shaun does
that, the Seahawks win big. Take the Hawks to win their
first game against the Rams in over a year. Game
Date: 10/09/05 13:00 ET
New
England @ Atlanta (-3) - Wait until right before
kickoff to take this bet. If Mike Vick isn't suiting
up for the Falcons, the Patriots at +3 is a pretty damn
good bet. If Vick is starting, take the Falcons in a
landslide. The Falcons defense has really stepped it
up, and the Patriots aren't as sharp as they once were.
But that's not where this game is going to be won and
lost. The Falcons possess the leagues best rushing attack
by far. Even without Vick, the Falcons have a shot because
the Patriots haven't been able to stop the run all year.
They won't be able to hold the three headed monster
in Atlanta (Vick, Dunn, and Duckett) When the Patriots
lose this game, they will be 2-3. I won't say I told
you so! Game Date: 10/09/05 13:00 ET
Miami
(+3) @ Buffalo - The Dolphins are a better football
team than I expected. On the eve before the return of
Ricky Williams, the Dolphins will go into Buffalo and
beat a wounded Bills squad. Wounded by the loss of Takeo
Spikes, and wounded like the Ducks that JP Losman throws
every other play. Nick Saban has done wonders for this
Dolphin team, and he'll continue to wow us as he takes
the Dolphins to 3-1. Right now the Dolphins are leading
the AFC. Can they keep it up? They can in Week 5! Game
Date: 10/09/05 13:00 ET
Baltimore
(+1.5) @ Detroit - The Lions played well enough
to win last week against the undefeated Buccaneers,
but luck wasn't on their side as they fell inches short
of victory, not once but twice. Joey Harrington played
well against a very good Tampa Bay defense. Can he replicate
or one up his performance in week 5? I'm guessing NO.
The Ravens defense finally showed up to play as they
limited the Jets to three whole points. Baltimore's
offense isn't worthy of much more than a victory in
Detroit, but that's exactly where they play this week.
Take the Ravens to outlast the Lions for their second
win in a row. Game Date: 10/09/05 13:00 ET
Tennessee
(+3) @ Houston - The Titans were humiliated by the
Colts. They'll get used to that sooner than later. Lucky
for them they play the winless Houston Texans in Week
5. Look for Steve McNair to get some time to throw,
feeding the ball to Drew Bennett for Drew's first 100
yard game of the year. Chris Brown will also get a chance
to shine against an average Texan defense. This will
be a tight game, as the Texans proved last week that
they aren't a complete waste of an NFL Franchise. The
Titan defense will force David Carr in to his customary
mistakes, leaving room for McNair to put early points
on the board. Take the Titans by a couple in this minor
upset.
Game Date: 10/09/05 13:00 ET
Indianapolis
(-14.5) @ San Francisco - The Colts weren't bashful
when showing the Titans that their offense is still
quite powerful. Don't expect them to take it easy on
the banged up 49er defense that gave up nearly 400 yards
to Joshy Woshy McCowen in Mexico on Sunday Night. Petyon
Manning… Josh McCowen… Hmmmm… I'm sure
the 49ers are excited to throw their crazy blitz packages
at Peyton. The Colts might take the over by themselves.
I wonder if the Niners will wait until next year to
let Alex Smith meat Dwight Freeney? The Colts might
very well match the Falcons nine sacks against Minnesota.
Either way, there will be plenty of room for both Peyton's
offense and Dwight Freeney's defense to showcase their
talents as the Colts will upend the Niners in epic proportions.
Game Date: 10/09/05 16:05 ET
Carolina
(-2.5) @ Arizona - The Panther's almost let a very
important victory slip away to the Second-Half-Packers
on Monday night. Luckily for them they pulled it out
by the gray hairs on Brett's chinny, chin, chin. That
should have been a wake up call to John Fox and his
club. Whether the Panthers like it or not, they need
to get the ball to Deshaun Foster more. Steven Davis
gets tough yards, but there were too many instances
when Davis was just a touch to slow to get the big gain.
Look for Jake Delhomme to do what the Niners couldn't
and exploit Arizona's young secondary.
Game Date: 10/09/05 16:15 ET
Philadelphia
(-3.5) @ Dallas - The Eagles are much better than
the tumbling Cowboys. Dallas hasn't done jack after
beating the Chargers in week 2. That's right, I barely
count that win over the 49ers. This week Terrell Owens
will make the Dallas Cowboy secondary look like a flock
of JP Losman's wounded ducks. Donovan McNabb should
have another huge night against a Dallas defense that
has a hard time stopping their scout team. Brian Westbrook
will find room to run when the Cowboys drop their linebackers
to defend McNabb. Julius Jones might have himself a
good first half, but being down by two touchdowns at
half never helps a running back's numbers. This game
won't be close. Take the Eagles in an easy one.
Game Date: 10/09/05 16:15 ET
Washington
(+7.5) @ Denver - The Redskins played well at home
against the Hawks last week. This week they go into
Denver to play the Lucky-screwing Broncos. I have to
be honest, Denver is overachieving. Mark Brunell was
efficient last week against Seattle. He'll continue
in Denver. This week the Redskins will make Jake Plummer
beat them, and that won't happen. Shawn Springs and
the Redskin rookie, Rogers, are both solid on the corner.
With old-man Rod Smith and drop-it-often Ashley Lelie
at wide receiver, the Broncos will be sledding uphill
in Mile High. Take the Redskins and all those points
in Denver. Game Date: 10/09/05 16:15 ET
Cincinnati
(+2.5) @ Jacksonville - The Bengals are a good team
that is riding the wave of confidence coming out of
Cincinnati. The Jaguars were humiliated by the Broncos
in Jacksonville last week. This is a hard one for me,
because I love what Byron Leftwich brings to the quarterback
position. But his team's inability to run the ball will
catch up to them again when the tough Bengal defense
comes to Jacksonville. Look for Carson Palmer to have
a big day through the air with Donovan Darius out of
the Jaguar lineup. This will be a tight one, but the
Bengals will pull out a minor upset in Jacksonville.
Game Date: 10/09/05 20:35 ET
Pittsburgh
(+3) @ San Diego - I'm taking the away team in this
Monday Night Showdown. The Steelers had two weeks to
prepare for the best running back the NFL has to offer.
They won't shut Ladainian Tomlinson down, but they'll
make him work harder than the Patriots did a week ago.
Don't be surprised if LT goes Week 5 without a touchdown.
The Steelers are very tough on Defense, and they'll
be out to prove something after a big loss at home to
New England in Week 3. Big Ben Roethlisberger will have
a better day in San Diego, tossing touchdowns to Hines
Ward while pulling off a minor upset against the streaking
Chargers. Game Date: 10/10/05 21:05 ET
A
NUMBERS BET
Seattle (+3) @ St. Louis - The Rams have lost
to the spread in 8 of the last 11 games they've been
favored. Seattle has lost their last three games against
the Rams. Who will win out? Take the Hawks. They've
proved to be a more balanced team this year, and they'll
out-dual the Rams in St. Louis.
Big
Bet of the Week
Washington (To Win) (+280) @ Denver - The Broncos
are overachieving as are the Redskins. The Redskins
have a decent rushing attack and a decent passing attack.
The Broncos have a decent rushing attack and Jake Plummer
at quarterback. That's the difference. The Broncos won't
be able to throw all their marbles into stopping the
run like the Redskins will. Denver will fall from their
3-1 pedestal. Take the big money!
WAGERING
SMART MAKES WATCHING NFL GAMES MORE FUN
Good
Luck with your NFL Football Betting!
Lucky Lester - Free
Football Picks
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