Five for Friday
September 4, 2008 by luckylester · Leave a Comment
Coaching Newbies: I just couldn’t get enough of Jim Zorn’s mismanagement of the game on Thursday night - I almost had to quit watching the damn thing. With four minutes left, Jim is huddling down 9. Interesting. Of all people, he has to know about his dink and dunk west coast offense - hurry up son! I like Jim and despite his shortcomings in Week 1 I think he will become a solid head guy for the Redskins. But doesn’t this show that there’s such thing as a rookie curve for coaches too? Its the first time Jim has ever been a head coach and he’s also calling plays - who does he think he is? Splinter Shannahan? Watch out for those rookie coaches, they’ll kill your fantasy guys too. Chris Cooley needed to get involved in this one - he’s a huge asset for the Redskins - yet he didn’t do anything. Talking about tight ends, do I drop Kevin Boss now that he didn’t catch a ball? Hmmm…
Premature E-drop-ulation: You don’t want to let go of a guy because of one bad week, but in the case of Kevin Boss, a guy that was probably a very late TE pickup for you, you might want to head in the direction of a Dustin Keller or possibly Greg Olsen. Either guy is likely to be available still and it doesn’t look like Boss is going to be as big a part of the Giants offense as Jeremy Shockey was. Plus, you don’t lose that much by dropping him. Contrary to this advice, I wouldn’t drop someone you were high on because of one lousy week. Dropping Eli Manning because he didn’t do much would be ridiculous. So don’t do it if one of your pre-season sleepers poo’s the bed in Week 1.
Do Hate: People often won’t pick a player because they hate him, or the team he plays for. TO is a prime example. I’ve drafted with Eagle fans that won’t touch the guy. Defenses are the best. Late you can often pick up the Cowboys, Vikings, or Jaguars because so many people either hate them or care less about them. Take advantage of that. There are lesser versions of these guys on waivers right now. Just because nobody likes Brandon Lloyd doesn’t mean he’s useless - same goes for Antonio Bryant. Remember - at one time in their NFL careers, both of these guys were promising fantasy receivers, and it’s not as if they’re too old to get back the magic. Dream big, Hate as much as you want. Just don’t let it effect your fantasy cash winnings. Its true though, nothing is worse than hating your fantasy team and losing at the same time. I don’t suggest you do that either.
Dallas Does Cleveland: I’m not saying much about this except - watch. The Cowboys are going to do what the Colts did to the Saints to start the ‘07 season, and many a people are going to be seen ripping out their hair because they put all their chips in the Brown doo-doo. Nobody likes brown doo-doo. But when this does happen, feel free to take advantage of those hair-rippers. Unlike you, most fantasy fans erupt prematurely like the apple pie kid. Week 1 and 2 are times where calm people build season-long dynasties.
Don’t do that: While rooting for your favorite team to pull a huge upset, please don’t be the guy that says, “I want them to win this, but it’d be nice if Tony Romo would throw a couple more touchdowns before it’s over.” That’s just not okay. You are a football fan first - remember that. Be loyal and just take the fantasy game as it falls. Rooting for a 56-55 game is just plain hopeless.
Three for Thursday
September 4, 2008 by luckylester · Leave a Comment
I’ve got three more tidbits for you valued readers… Who else would give you this kind of love?
Chris Perry… Ravens - Ravens… Chris Perry: Poor guy. Chris Perry gets his first start in the NFL after being injured for what has seemed like his entire pro existence, and who does he get to try and stay healthy against? Oh, just the Baltimore Ravens. Hopefully he can catch the ball, because running it didn’t really pan out for opposing offenses last season. How many yards per rush do you think the Ravens gave up last year? 4? 3? Nope, try 2.8. Yes sir, 2.8 whole freaking yards. That’s the lowest in the league. Many would think that the Vikings were the best run defense last season because of all the hype that goes with their monstrous defensive line, and they did allow the least amount of total rushing yards, but no matter how hard opposing offenses tried, the Ravens wouldn’t budge. They were the only defense to keep opposing rushers under 3 yards per carry in ‘07. I’m guessing Perry doesn’t look like a million bucks his first time out. You have to go back to 2000 to find a defense that bettered the Ravens in ‘07, and what do you know, that was the Ravens.
Shaven, no Bush: Reggie hasn’t had a stellar start to his young career, but the Bucs really seem to cut him down to size. In two contests against the Bucs in ‘07, Reggie rushed 23 times for 81 yards, 9 catches for 56 yards, zero touchdowns and 4 fumbles. In ‘06, during his rookie year, Reggie had 20 carries for 18 yards, 15 grabs for 85 yards, and no scores. In one game he had 11 carries for -5 yards with a long of 3. I like Reggie. I think he’ll be a good player in this league, and he’ll figure out how to hit a hole during his third season. But, he won’t do it on opening day - don’t put all your eggs in this Bush.
Racking up the Yards: I know I talked about McFadden, Selvin Young, Thomas Jones, and the Ricky Williams/Ronnie Brown duo headed into this weekend’s games - but I found some more stuff that I just had to share. Only 3 teams gave up more rushing yards than the Jets. Only two teams gave up more rushing yards than the Broncos. Only one team gave up more on the ground than Oakland. And nobody allowed more rushing yards than the Dolphins. Lucky for you fan of the ground game, the Dolphins take on the Jets while the Raiders host the Broncos on Monday Night. This is what I call a tournament. The seedings would look like this… 4 @ 1 and 3 @ 2. I hope the winner gets to go to the Super Bowl - but that probably won’t happen. It’s a good week to own this group of fantasy backs.
Get back here at the end of the work week to read Five for Friday…
One for Wednesday
September 4, 2008 by luckylester · Leave a Comment
Not so Neon, but definitely DEION!: I just don’t get it. Sure, Deion Branch has never put up huge numbers and he was hurt last season and is still recovering from his injury - but how can he get ranked in the 160s to start the season? Some are being led to believe that he won’t play in 2008, or he’ll miss the first half of the year. Give it a rest. This guy just started to practice and may miss a few games, but there is absolutely no reason he should be on a waiver wire in any league with more than 8 fantasy owners. Deion Branch will very likely lead the Seahawks in receiving this season. I’m willing to bet he plays just as many games as Steve Smith (Carolina’s Steve) and puts up his same solid numbers that he always puts up. I think it’d be perfect if he hit 1000 yards this season. No, Dominik Hixon, Donald Lee, Courtney Taylor, Marty Booker, and Jsoh Morgan should not be ranked ahead of him. This is a #1 receiver for a very good passing attack in Seattle. He’s hurt to start the season, but take full advantage of that. He had 49 catches for 661 yards and 4 scores in 11 total games played last season. That’s on pace for 80+ grabs 1000+ yards and 6 touchdowns. YES - he was that good when he was healthy. Buy low! Buy now! Don’t wait or you might be too late. Somebody else might come across this article and jump at the site of the other Deion sitting on the waivers. Don’t go drop Chad to pick up Deion, but please don’t sit on Amani Toomer or DeSean Jackson hoping that they’ll become what Deion already is. I can’t believe how low he’s being rated. 162 on ESPN’s Matthew Berry’s list. You’ve got to be kidding me.
theRUNDOWN: Week 1
September 3, 2008 by Papa Weimer · Leave a Comment
2008’s Week 1 is upon us. Thursday Night’s contest pitting the Giants against their in-conference rival Redskins makes for good TV, but does that match-up make for good fantasy fun? Hard to tell. I have a sleeper or two from that group, but as far as fantasy studs, I’ll stay away. These are my favorite players to start, some sleepers, and some guys to avoid on Sunday - This is theRUNDOWN for Week 1 - write this down!
QB: Kurt Warner vs. San Francisco: Last time Kurt played the Niners he approached 500 passing yards. He didn’t get it, but he surely sniffed it. I don’t think he’ll do that kind of colossus damage, but he should be one of the best starting options in Week 1. I’ll take him as my quarterbacking bell-cow.
RB: LaDainian Tomlinson vs. Carolina: I have to take LT because he’s scored on opening day in every single season but one in his NFL career. That’s something right? He doesn’t have the best match-up ever, but he’s still going to show the Panthers a thing or two.
RB: Marion Barber vs. Cleveland: I know the Browns got much better defensively, but I just have a feeling. This is wear I put guys down that I have feelings about.
WR: Randy Moss vs. Kansas City: Because why not? Moss is one of the best receivers in the game and he’s going to KC where nobody on the roster can guard him. Seems like a no-brainer.
WR: Terrell Owens vs. Cleveland: Yes, I will start TO and Randy and smile the whole time. Cleveland’s secondary doesn’t stand much of a chance against the Cowboys passing attack - TO is a big reason why. The only guy I’d consider instead of Owens is Calvin Johnson, but I figured I’d start with Randy and TO and go from there.
TE: Tony Scheffler vs. Oakland: Without Brandon Marshall I just have to believe Scheffler gets about 10 targets on Monday Night. That’s good enough for me to give him the nod.
K: Josh Brown vs. Philadelphia: Brown struggled in the pre-season, making me wonder if Seattle can see the future. I doubt it though, why would they have resigned Shaunna Alexander if they could see the future? Its an ongoing joke that I can’t pick good kicking options- we’ll see if that continues through Week 1.
D: Patriots vs. Kansas City: I just feel like the Patriots are pretty good and the KC offense is horrendous. Is that wrong?
LUCKY’S Week 1 SLEEPERS
Matt Schaub: I think Warner could be a bit of a sleeper, but since I took him as my top option, he really doesn’t work here. In that case I’ll roll with Matt Schaub. I think he can do his part to torch the Steelers defense despite most people predicting a Pittsburgh beat down.
Aaron Rodgers: You bet - this kid is going to be good. Why not start in Week 1 against a suspect secondary?
Chris Johnson: He needs to make one guy miss and then run away from everyone else. I think CJ will be a lot like Maurice Jones Drew in MJD’s rookie run. Even against Jax, I like CJ as a sleeper.
Maurice Morris: It seems like a lot of people don’t realize it, but Morris is the starter in Seattle. They go up against a Bills team that doesn’t do many things great defensively. I am willing to bet that Morris is a double digit fantasy scorer this Sunday.
Matt Forte: This rookie goes up against the Colts. That’s what I’m saying. He’s starter worthy.
Nate Burleson: He’s the #1 target in Seattle and while that would normally give him the opposing defense’s best corner back, Buffalo really doesn’t have one of those. He’s a nice option on Sunday.
Roddy White: After a great ‘07 season Roddy seemed to fall down in drafts for some reason. I wonder if it’s because Atlanta’s QB play last year was good and this year they have a rookie? Hmmm… Nope, they just cut the guy that started most of ‘07. I like Roddy no matter who is throwing him the ball.
Robert Meachem: There’s a chance Meachem is the deep threat right off the bat in New Orleans. With Tampa giving Colston, Shockey, and Bush lots of attention I have a feeling Meachem could get loose for a couple big plays.
Zach Miller: The Raiders will have to throw the ball to someone on Monday against Denver. Miller won’t be getting blanketed by Champ Bailey or Dre Bly. So yeah, I think he’s a top 12 starting option this weekend.
Bengals: One would hate to ever have to start the Bengals week in and week out, but they should make some plays against the Ravens sputtering offense. (Yes, they will sputter early). There are worse defenses out there, and the Bengals have the playmakers to score a touchdown or two.
LUCKY’S Week 1 Splinter-Butts (bench him, son)
Drew Brees: The proof is there, this high scorer rarely does a lot of damage against the Bucs - if you have a decent back-up option, start him instead.
Ryan Grant and Adrian Peterson: I don’t think either of these defensive lines will allow a 100 yard rusher in Week 1 - even though AP and Grant are beasts, this isn’t a good match-up for either of them.
Bernard Berrien: I like BB’s chances to have a great season, but he just seems to get pushed around by the physical corners in Green Bay. We’ll see, but there’s a good chance that continues.
Willie Parker: I like me some Fast Willie Parker, but I think Houston is much improved up front, and they will make Pittsburgh beat them through the air.
It looks like I’ll have a nice little team on my bench this week.
Ask Papa Weimer: Week 1 (’08)
September 3, 2008 by Papa Weimer · Leave a Comment
Lets get right to it. You know the gig, you ask questions and I answer them. For God’s sake it’s not that freaking much of a scientific experiment to get all hoogily boogily about - but it is some sound advice that just might be able to help out this weekend. Let the games begin!
David says, “I have Kevin Walter and Eddie Royal as backups, and while i like both of their respective upsides, would you drop one f them to pick up one of the following players? - Deion Branch, DJ Hackett, Donte Hall, Jabar Gaffney, Steve Breaston…
Boy, I would say that I like DJ and Branch just as much as I like Walter - and Royal is a rookie receiver so the chances of him being a good option right off teh bat just aren’t as good - but, I really like Royal, think he’s the best receiver in the draft, and I’d hang on to him for a week just to see how he’s used in Denver. I love Hackett, really, last year I thought he was the best receiver in Seattle. Now he gets to play opposite Steve Smith - if he stays healthy - and that if is harder to comeby with him than just about anyone else. Gaffney, you’re right about him, there’s reason to be intrigued by the guy playing #3 in that offense. BUt I don’t think his upside is as high as DJ, Branch, Royal, or Walter - so I’d stikc with the guys you have. THe biggest sure thing you have is Deion Branch. I would pick him up and drop Walter right now. Branch is supposed to play in Week 3 or after their week 4 bye… He’s a stud. He’ll likely be Seattle’s #1 when he gets back and he’ll play 12 games thi syear - that’s worth a roster spot. Dropping Walter won’t kill you. He could be good this year, but I don’t think his upside is 1000 yards and 8 touchdowns, so you don’t have to keep him because both Hackett and Branch do have that upside. You could drop Royal - Walter is a safer bet than Royal, but I’m not a huge safe bet guy in this respect - take the guy with the most ability: that’s my motto - that’s Royal.
Slick Doug from Bremerton asks, “Who would you start at running back between these four soldiers? Adrian Peterson, Thomas Jones, Steven Jackson, and Michael Turner - I can only start two.”
Not many people are going to like this, but I would roll without AP in my starting lineup for Week 1. I know, it seems just crazy enough to predict that I am soon to be described as senile - but what if I’m right? Thomas Jones plays the Dolphins, Jackson plays the Eagles, and Turner has to go up against that old run-stuffing juggernaut in Detroit. AP plays against a very good and young Packers defense and he won’t have the luxury of his pro-bowl offensive tackle, Bryant McKinnie, to help pave the way. Losing a stud on the outside is a tough deal, especially against Green Bay. You’ve done a great job grabbing back-ups, and this is a good time to use that flexibility. If you can handle sitting two of the best backs in the league, I would go with Mike Turner and Thomas Jones - but that’s just me. I think Steven Jackson is a nice option though, so he could be the answer. The Eagles aren’t a great run-defense by any means, and if Jackson hadn’t missed the entire pre-season I would go with him. I just think Jones and Turner get 20+ carries easily, and that will be good enough for the girls I go with.
Davis in Dillingham, AK writes, “Even us Alaska folk play fantasy football - but we also have questions. I recently got a full dynasty keeper league trade offer from my buddy, Calvin Johnson and Larry Johnson for Jospeh Addai and Roy Williams. I love Calvin - would you do it?”
Tough call Davis. To start with I’ve been in Dillingham a couple times, been up fishing for salmon once or twice, haha. Tough climate up there in the Winter, eh? Anyway, it doesn’t seem like good value - your trade that is. Addai is so young and part of a great offense that gives him lots of red zone looks without wearing him down. I like LJ but I would be surprised if he has many years left in his tank - plus the Chiefs abuse his body something fierce. Like I said, I love Calvin Johnson but he’s not that huge of an upgrade to Roy Williams. Williams is getting a bad wrap this season, but before his injury he was just about on pace to match his 2006 numbers last year. He’ll be a good option, and Addai is much better than LJ for the future. Hold your cards!
Tiny Tim in Wyoming asks, “Do you have any crazy sleeper advice headed in to Week 1? Any guy that I should get my hands on before I lose a chance?
If Chris Perry is still on your waiver wire, I’d grab him. The same goes for Chris Johnson and DJ Hackett. Hackett has been dropped by a lot of people recently, because of his pre-season ailments, but he should start and have a very good chance to look good in week 1. I say go for one of these three guys because they all have tough defensive match-ups, and if they play well right off the bat, their stock will go sky high. All 3 have a nice chance to really produce this season if they stay healthy. Chris Johnson is a favorite here at LL.com.
Okay, remember, if you want your fantasy questions answered, just send an email to papaweimer50@hotmail.com.
Papa’s Predictions
September 3, 2008 by Papa Weimer · Leave a Comment
So what, I’m old and these damn computer things seem to get the best of me at every turn. I need glasses to watch the game, and sometimes I yell “fumble” while sitting all by myself on my big ass chair in my big ass living room on my big ass. Oh, and sometimes there was no fumble at all - forgot to mention that. In fact, I seem to forget from time to time as well. Screw it, all that jazz doesn’t even matter because when it comes to football I surely know my game. I’ve said some things that have been wrong, but that only accounts for 3 instances in my football existence. So, when asked to do my predictions I figured, what the hell. Sure, the nephew might be able to actually keep tabs on the things I predict now, but that just gives me one more chance to prove my football knowledge dominance in this family tree. Let the predictions begin with glory and rapture!!!
- Vince Young - Top 5 fantasy quarterback in leagues that award only 4 points for throwing touchdowns.
- LenDale - more fantasy points than Chris Johnson in every format, except maybe PPR - that will be a close race.
- Earnest Graham won’t get 20+ carries in more than 3 games this season - and that bites into his value.
- Deion Branch - best fantasy receiver in Seattle (total points).
- LeSean McCoy will be a better professional running back than Beanie Wells - and he will be something (draft him in leagues where that’s a part of it).
- Willis McGahee - 1200+ rushing yards for the Ravens.
- Edgerrin James will break the 1000-yard mark once again.
- My nephew thinks Calvin Johnson will be a Top 15 WR - he’ll be a Top 5 WR - my nephew will edit this article and I thank him for that.
- Matt Ryan - much better fantasy quarterback than Joe Flacco this season - but neither will bust the Top 20.
- Chad Pennington will bust the Top 20, and throw at least 20 touchdowns if he plays more than 12 games.
- Jerchio Cotchery - easily outscore Coles in New York.
- Selvin Young - the leading rusher in the NFL headed into Week 7.
- Kurt Warner will get hurt in the first four weeks, allowing Matt Leinart to take the starting job back and keep it for the duration of the season - the entitled little bastard.
- DeAngelo Williams gets 66% of the carries in Carolina and rush for 1000+ yards for the first time in his career.
- Dustin Keller - Top 10 fantasy tight end by seasons end.
- So will Greg Olsen.
- Nate Burleson - scores double digit touchdowns in Seattle again.
- Steve Slaton will lead the Texans backfield, and will approach 80 receptions.
- Marion Barber - best running back this season in fantasy land.
- Brain Westbrook won’t play more than 11 games - as much as I love the guy.
- Chris Perry - top 15 fantasy running back.
- Frank Gore - top 5 fantasy back.
- Randy Moss - catches less than 15 touchdowns, but still has a great season - more catches this year.
- Chad Johnson figures out that the Bengals don’t have a chance by Week 6 - that’s when he opts for season ending surgery - he gets traded in 2009.
- The SeaChickens don’t win the NFC West this year.
- Neither do the freaking Niners.
- LT scores in each of his first four games to start the season.
- Adrian Peterson won’t break the Top 5 running back list in 2008.
- Willie Parker revisits his 2006 form and finishes the year with 1300+ yards and 9 touchdowns or more. (nephew thinks this is crazy old man speak)
- Plaxico Burress - his best statistical season, don’t believe my nephew’s bad ju-ju.
- Steve Smith - will be the #2 in New York and catch 65 balls at least.
- Steve Smith - Carolina’s best weapon puts up 12 touchdowns and finishes in the Top 5 amongst per-game fantasy receiver.
- Brandon Marshall - does work in Denver, grabbing 100+ balls in 15 games.
- Rookie receiver James Hardy will lead all rookie receivers in touchdowns.
- Tony Scheffler - Top 5 TE.
- The Ravens will lose at least 12 games.
- Santana Moss - ready? - 1300+ yards, 9+ touchdowns, 80+ grabs - believe it.
- Ronald Curry finally meets my nephew’s expectations now that he hasn’t said anything about him recently - 1000+ yards and 6 or more scores in 08.
- Chris Henry - more touchdowns for the Bengals than Chad Johnson gets.
- Adam “Pacman” Jones never gets in trouble again - he also plays offense a little this season and scores at least 4 touchdowns.
- Jamal Lewis will be a great buy-low candidate after Week 3 - get him then and reap the benefits. (nephew thinks this is a great call)
- Ryan Grant is going to be a beast - 1400 yards and 14 touchdowns are not out of the question.
- Reggie Bush - 10+ total touchdowns this season, his highest total of his career.
- Deuce McAllister will lead the Saints in rushing yards -even on 3 bad knees.
- Maurice Jones Drew - 200+ carries for 1200+ yards and scores at least 14 times - and welcome to JD being a Top 5 fantasy pick for the next 4 years.
- Tarvaris Jackson - 20+ touchdowns for the Vikings. (interesting says the nephew)
- So does Jason Campbell, but not for the Vikings.
- Anquan Boldin catches more balls than Larry Fitzgerald.
- Marvin Harrison catches 80+ balls and scores between 8-12 times.
- Terrell Owens will lead all receivers in touchdowns - damn his black heart.
Fantasy Fun: Ten for Tuesday
September 2, 2008 by luckylester · 1 Comment
I’ve decided to throw out some fantasy advice, free of charge. Every single week I’m going to put some good stuff out for you to mull over in your fantasy minds. The articles will be entitled, “Ten for Tuesday” “One for Wednesday” “Three for Thursday” and “Five for Friday”. Each article will dive into as many fantasy observations as the title insists - 10 on tuesday, 1 on wednesday, and so in and so forth. The observations could, can, and will be anything that crosses my mind as important information. My goal is to sift through the irrelative fantasy junk and give you a few important tidbits prior to Sunday’s roster deadlines - 19 tidbits in fact. Since it is Tuesday, I’m on the books for 10 - good luck.
1. Sitting AP in Week 1: Adrian Peterson goes up against a pretty tough Green Bay Packers defense, and while that won’t be reason to sit him (as you certainly drafted him with your first round pick), the fact that his starting pro-bowl offensive tackle is out with a 4-game suspension might give you a couple second thoughts if you have a couple running backs with better match-ups as your 3rd options (Thomas Jones against the Dolphins, Mike Turner against the Lions for example) you might want to take that shot. I know that most of you won’t, and I’m going to have a hard time doing it in the league I have AP in, but it’s something to consider. Remember there is no player too good for a bad week - and it’s not looking sunny for AP in Green Bay.
2. Running Men in Miami: It’s going to be a run fest in Miami this weekend when Brett Favre and the Jets come to the beach. A lot of people think Brett is going to bring instant passing totals to Jet games, but considering that both the Dolphins and Jets have terrible run-defenses, I can’t see either quarterback putting up much more than 200 yards through the air. Thomas Jones, Leon Washington, Ricky Williams, and Ronnie Brown will all get their chances to shine, and 300+ yards rushing between the four of them won’t surprise me.
3. Welcome to the Barber Shop: Marion Barber is going to beast defenses all season long, and I don’t think he’ll waste time - he’s starting in Week 1. Sure, the Browns added Shaun Rogers and Corey Williams, but I still think Barber will rush for over 100 yards with a couple scores in Cleveland. We’ll see right away how much those huge off-season purchases do - will they change the entire defense? I doubt it, this unit in Cleveland is still sub-par.
4. Mr. Warner’s Neighborhood: It’s official, Kurt Warner has busted Matt Leinart’s bubble by plucking the starting job right out from under him. We heard all along that Warner and Leinart were on even playing ground, but nobody believed it until Kurt was named the starter. Now he goes up against a 49ers defense that he torched for 484 yards last time out. I’m not thinking he’s going for 484 again, but over 300 yards is very likely - so feel free to start him over guys you picked in the first 8 rounds of the draft - it’s not time to pretend you have a better starting option than the former MVP.
5. Earnest goes to New Orleans: Earnest went a lot of places in the 80s and 90s, but I never saw him throwing beads around the streets in New Orleans - this is a new Earnest and you can bet on him doing work against the Saints. I’m sure New Orleans will be better against the run this season, but they still won’t be good. Graham has a nice offensive line and while he’s gone under the radar a bit in the pre-season, he’s still a great option this week.
6. In Orton I Trust: Kyle Orton will outscore half of these quarterbacks in Week 1 - ready, Brett Favre, Carson Palmer, Eli Manning, David Garrard, Derrick Anderson, Trent Edwards, Jeff Garcia, and Drew Brees. He’ll have a good game against a Colts secondary that is beginning to look very suspect. Think I’m crazy? You just wait and see.
7. 100% of the time, almost Every Time: If LaDainian Tomlinson doesn’t score a touchdown in Week 1 of the regular season it will be just the second time in his career. That’s right, this scoring machine has visited the end-zone on opening day every single year but once. Can you say consistency? You bet. He has had ups and downs in yardage during week 1, but a running back (or any position) that scores is a guy you want to start. Craziness…
8. 4 INTS for Brady?: Last time Tom Brady played the Chiefs he tossed 4 interceptions in a 16-26 loss. That’s half as many picks as he threw all of last year. That was 2005, sure, but it certainly wasn’t vintage Brady. This week a banged up and likely to be rusty Tom goes up against the Chiefs for the first time since they bruised his ego with all those picks. Will he toss the same number in touchdowns? I’m not sold. Expect a few blunders from the million dollar man - but he’ll figure it out late and pull the Pats out with a win. Just don’t expect that huge vintage 2007 Brady performance.
9. Poor Man’s Reggie Bush?: Don’t buy that crappy scouting tip - Chris Johnson is a smart man’s Reggie Bush. This is why, the Titans didn’t have to spend 50 million bucks or a #2 overall pick on Chris, and he’s going to be better than Reggie. He’s faster and less afriad of contact. He hits the hole with a mission and can catch the ball too. Oh, and he’s faster. His game speed is just as fast as the 4.2 track speed insists. His pro career starts this week against a good Jaguars defense, but he’ll make someone look silly - just don’t miss out, you’ll surely miss a highlight.
10. Selvin Young VS Darren McFadden: Lets put it this way, the yards battle will go to Selvin while the fantasy point title will end in McFadden’s favor. Those that were expecting McFadden to stumble in his rookie campaign can either jump on his bandwagon or be exposed later in the season - he can really run. The Broncos still don’t have an apt defensive line, and that doesn’t bode well for them. What is nice is the fact that Oakland doesn’t have a run-defense either, and this battle of first year starting backs should be fun to watch. Young is a sophomore, but with the starter’s keys in his hands it will be fun to see what he does with them. I like both these guys as starting options in Week 1 with McFadden getting the nod because of his knack for finding the end-zone.
Lucky’s List: Predictor’s Paradise
September 1, 2008 by luckylester · 1 Comment
There are a few guys in this business that actually throw themselves out there for everyone else to see. I don’t always agree with these guys, but overall they are thoroughly entertaining and, at the very least, accept a little responsibility for their predictions. They don’t just throw out guys like Brandon Marshall and Marshawn Lynch as sleepers - they say things that have everyone in the game second guessing them, saying “no way”, and writing them hate mail that insists they are crazy. But I love it. I love when guys feel something and then put it out before the season begins. On the other hand, I hate when guys claim “I was saying that in the pre-season” without anything to back it up.
Well, as the season moves forward in fantasy football, I’m hoping to quote this article now and again to prove my predictions true. As crazy as some may seem, here they are for all to see. That’s right - 50 big ones for you, you, you, and you. Read my list, check it twice, some of it’s naughty but most of it’s nice…
50 Predictions that Have a GOOD Chance of Coming True
- Ricky Williams will have more fantasy points than Ronnie Brown.
- Ronnie Brown will still have 1000+ total yards from scrimmage.
- Brett Favre will throw multiple touchdowns in each of his first three games.
- Shaunna Alexander and Michael Strahan will start a boy-band named, “The Gap-Tooth Goons”
- Darren McFadden will rush for over 1100 yards and be a top 15 fantasy running back.
- Rashard Mendenhall will rack up more fantasy points than Willie Parker - neither will be Top 15 backs.
- Josh Morgan will finish the season with more fantasy points than Shaun McDonald and Mike Furrey put together - thank you Mike Martz.
- Despite the recent DeSean Jackson hype, Eddie Royal will lead all rookie receivers in the fantasy realm.
- If they play the same amount of games (no injuries), Michael Turner will have more rushing yards than LaDainian Tomlinson in 2008.
- Tom Brady won’t throw more than 35 touchdowns this season.
- Calvin Johnson will eclipse these numbers, 80 catches - 1200 yards - 10 touchdowns (ps: pick him).
- Chris Simms will be a starter before the season is over - somewhere not in Tampa.
- Devin Hester will score double digit touchdowns for the Bears.
- Kyle Orton will be a Top 10 fantasy quarterback in Week 1 against the Colts.
- Marion Barber will be a Top 3 fantasy running back.
- Steve Smith will have at least 3 multi-touchdown games, eclipse 1100 yards, and easily get into the double digit touchdown category.
- Deion Branch will play in at least 12 games and finish in the Top 30 amongst fantasy receivers.
- Chris Perry (if you can risk picking the walking wounded) is a great late round pick. He’ll have 1300+ yards from scrimmage and score 7+ touchdowns.
- Drew Brees will lead the league in touchdown passes.
- (Two of Three) Peyton Manning, Brett Favre, and Tom Brady will miss at least one football game due to injuries.
- Thomas Jones will prove to be a better fantasy player than Willie Parker, Reggie Bush, Willis McGahee, and Brandon Jacobs.
- Jericho Cotchery will be a Top 14 fantasy receiver.
- Antonio Gates will be the top scoring fantasy tight end - don’t believe the bad hype.
- Phillip Rivers will throw more touchdown passes than Eli Manning (less interceptions too).
- Chris Johnson will lead the Titans in yards (receiving and rushing combined).
- Chris Johnson is the NFL’s version of Usain Bolt.
- One of the following 6 teams will make the playoffs - Dolphins, Raiders, Bears, Falcons, Cardinals, Rams.
- Frank Gore will eclipse 1,500 total yards, 70 receptions, and score 10+ touchdowns.
- Kurt Warner will be a Top 10 fantasy quarterback.
- Maurice Morris will be a better fantasy back than Julius Jones.
- Larry Johnson will rush for 1,300+ yards and score 12+ touchdowns.
- Plaxico Burress will play in less than 11 games.
- The Giants will finish the season under .500.
- Chris Taylor will lead the Houston Texans in rushing yards and scores.
- Anthony Gonzalez will have a similar year (give or take a few fantasy points) to Brandon Stokely a few years ago when he played with the Colts - 1077 yards, 68 catches, 10 touchdowns.
- During the fantasy playoffs (week’s 14-16) Adrian Peterson (Vikings) will have more yards and touchdowns than any other running back.
- The Patriots will win 13 games during the regular season.
- Ryan Torrain will start at least 5 games for the Broncos later this season.
- Chad Johnson will lead the NFL in receiving yards despite his shoulder ouchy.
- Vince Young will throw more touchdowns than interceptions.
- Lee Evans will score 10+ touchdowns.
- Bernard Berrien will have his best receiving totals of his career - yards, catches, and touchdowns.
- Wes Welker won’t match last season’s totals, he’ll eclipse them - (yards and touchdowns for sure).
- Ben Watson will be a Top 12 tight end.
- Four rookie running backs will rush for over 1000 yards (I’m thinking Darren McFadden, Chris Johnson, Matt Forte, and Kevin Smith - but keep your eye on Ryan Torrain, Jonathan Stewart, and Rashard Mendenhall.
- The Eagles will not have a 1000 yard receiver - but they’ll still win 10 games.
- Donovan McNabb will be a Top 5 fantasy quarterback.
- Jake Delhomme will finish in the Top 8 amongst QBs.
- Leon Washington will score at least 6 touchdowns while having at least 3 games with 100+ yards (receiving and rushing combined)
- Barrack Obama will become president in one of the most lopsided elections in recent history.
There you have it, dig it, disagree with it, recognize it - just get ready for me to gloat when prediction becomes truth - I’ll keep tabs so you don’t have to!















