Ohio State Buckeyes (+7.5) @ Michigan Wolverines
The Wolverines have been very good lately, making me look silly week after week (kind of like Houston) but that doesn’t mean that I’ve giving in. I know that Vegas is begging me to take the Buckeyes when they give me that extra half point, but I just think averages play out here. The Buckeyes have certainly been up and down this season – I just think Saturday in Michigan will be an up-swing kind of day for the chestnuts. Hopefully I can stick it to Vegas with this one!
Georgia Bulldogs (-5.5) @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Georgia’s the better team even if they never really can meet expectations. Georgia Tech is pretty one-dimensional, as they always are, but I see the Bulldogs’ defense being able to slow the Yellow Jackets’ attack just enough to cover this spread.
Alabama Crimson Tide (-21) @ Auburn Tigers
Alabama has a lot to lose in this contest and Auburn can play one heck of a spoiler in one of the biggest rivalry games around – but is it possible? I really don’t think so. Auburn has played close in some games they probably shouldn’t have, even winning a couple of them, but the Tigers aren’t on the same level as the Tide, and I expect it to show early and often this weekend.
Florida State Seminoles (-1.5) @ Florida Gators
This used to be “The Game” when I was just getting into football. I saw a few wide rights and a wide left, a couple upsets, and some great games between two programs that were up and coming and dominating college football. The old ball coach was getting Rex Grossman to do good things, and the Seminoles had Peter Warrick making dirty cuts in the middle of the field. Those were the days. Neither program is on top right now, but both have the talent to make this one heck of a game. I just think Florida State has a more complete team, so they are the bet here.
Nebraska Cornhuskers (+3.5) @ Michigan Wolverines
This is tough because there are some aspects of the Cornhuskers that makes them just tough to believe in. Their quarterback, Martinez, can have very dynamic moments as a runner, and even complete a prayer pass every once in a while, but most of the time he plays like he’s not engaged – and QB is important in their system. He is terrible throwing the ball, his form is that of an athlete you put at QB on a high school team because you don’t have anybody that can throw. Seriously. That being said, I still find it more difficult to believe in the Wolverines (on both sides of the ball). The bet I’m making here allows me to be wrong about the Wolverines in a close game –they win by a field goal I win anyway.
Penn State Nittany Lions @ Ohio State Buckeyes (-6.5)
The Buckeyes are unranked and nearly touchdown favorites over the infamous Penn State program. The Nittany Lions have been very stout defensively all year long, and it’s possible that this game is close. But I think the situation that be wears on the Nittany Lions even more this week than it did last – and the physical power of Ohio State should be able to get the Buckeyes out in front early in this one.
Washington Huskies (-2) @ Oregon State Beavers
I know that home field advantage and some other factors give the Beavers a chance here – but the Huskies should run all over the Beavers, and at some point the Huskies stellar early season passing attack will find its way back onto the field. Why not against the Beav?
Purdue Boilermakers (+14) @ Michigan Wolverines
I just really like Purdue here, I mean they play mistake free football and as good as Michigan can be, they’ll keep lesser talented teams in the game with their mental errors – that’s a fact. When you add to that little tidbit that Purdue has been playing decent football, you got yourself an upset in the making.
Wisconsin Badgers (-7) @ Ohio State Buckeyes
I know that the Buckeyes will have most of their cats back and they obviously are a talented football team with their entire season riding on upsetting the mighty Badgers – but hey, the Spartans took that glory last week, making the Buckeyes’ plans a little second fiddle(ish). The Badgers probably just come out and kill it for a few quarters and ride it out to victory.
Arizona Wildcats @ Washington Huskies (-4.5)
The Huskies are still good, despite their late struggles against Stanford. People forget that they were marching down the field offensively against the Cardinal, but it did get out of hand. Still, with suspensions on an already soft defense, the Wildcats might take a step back in Seattle.
Clemson Tigers (-3.5) @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
People keep expecting the Tigers to drop a game, and I can see why. You look at them and you see the same thing you see from a lot of teams that put up points like it’s their job – defense just isn’t a part of the equation. I get why the Jackets aren’t that big of a dog in this one, I mean they run the ball right down your throat, hold onto the ball for long periods of time, and don’t do things to give their opponents extra opportunities. While that’s all fine and dandy, and maybe the smart play here is taking the Techies, I just can’t look past that mountain of offense coming at them when Clemson comes to town on Saturday. Taj Boyd is legit and there are just too many weapons there to team up on any one guy.
I haven’t liked what I’ve seen from Ohio State, and they’re still missing key contributors that should make them a touchdown dog at least against Miami. The Hurricanes get their quarterback back this week, and Harris definitely has some bad decisions he made (both in last years game and in the off season) to make up for in his first game back. He’s a really good college quarterback, and I think he’ll show that all season. This game also fits my “take the lower rated favorite” criteria.
Ohio State Buckeyes @ Miami Hurricanes (-2.5)
Kentucky Wildcats @ Ohio State Buckeyes College Basketball Prediction: The Wildcats keep it close. So far this season, Kentucky has 8 losses, only two of them have been by more than 4 points. They’ve really done well of late, coming on strong toward the end of the SEC season, beating both Florida and Vanderbilt (two teams they lost to earlier in the season) at the end of the regular season. Then they went ahead and won the SEC tournament outright, as if their ending wasn’t enough to show how good they’ve become. But somehow, Florida still pulled away with a 2-seed and Kentucky got just a 4. Not a big deal, ha, tell that to Kentucky who has to play Ohio State in the Sweet 16. Of course, Florida and Vandy are out of the tournament, so maybe this is sweet justice.
Ohio State lost to Purdue and Wisconsin – both in the matter of a 3-game stretch that sandwiched a win over Michigan. They also beat Purdue and Wisconsin during different stretches of the season. So, in other words, the Buckeyes have yet to play against an opponent they haven’t beaten. Or even better, everyone they’ve played, they’ve beat. They’ve been untested thus far in the tournament, looking like the true number 1 seed in the Dance.
This is an interesting match-up, no doubt, the youth and athleticism of Kentucky against the old-school Buckeyes.
It’s hard to see Ohio State losing. You need to play perfect against them to win, and Kentucky doesn’t spend too much time playing flawless basketball. But their athleticism is tough to match. Very difficult call for me, but I’ll take Ohio State. They’ve done all the little things all season long, and that will help them in this one.
(4) Kentucky Wildcats @ (1) Ohio State Buckeyes (-5.5) (3/25) (CBS)
Ohio State Buckeyes @ Wisconsin Badgers NCAA Basketball Prediction: #1 Ohio State and freshman sensation Jared Sullinger go to Wisconsin to fight a tough Badger team in what will be one of the Buckeye’s toughest games of the regular season. Wisconsin is a tough place to play, and the Badgers do good work at home. The Badgers remain undefeated, and have beaten their last 3 ranked opponents by and average of about 14 points per game. Wisconsin comes into the weak winning their last two games over Purdue and Michigan State. They could be a different match-up on the post than Ohio State has seen all season.
In fact, when Ohio State has been slowed down a little, Michigan (twice), Northwestern, Penn State – try to limit the number of shots, execute offensively – the Buckeyes haven’t been as good. Effective, yes – they are undefeated, but they’ve had to play a lot of close games in the last 10 – barely getting by those teams I mentioned, and playing even closer on the road. Only once in their last 5 road games have they won by more than 5 points.
Wisconsin is great at home, and they have the bigs to give Ohio State a little trouble. I think they knock off the undefeated here at home – I’m taking Wisconsin.
#1 Ohio State Buckeyes @ #14 Wisconsin Badgers (-1) (2/12) (ESPN)
Ohio State Buckeyes @ Arkansas Razorbacks All State Sugar Bowl Pick: What can I say? I’m not very fond of the Big 10. Apparently, that’s for good reason, as the Big 10 powers have gone down hard this Bowl Season. Penn State, Wisconsin, Michigan, Northwestern, and Michigan State all fell short in their bowl games, even future Big 10 Nebraska lost in the biggest surprise of the holiday games. And even though Illinois and Iowa won their games, and Ohio State has a chance here, it’s easy to see why I’m not all that enamored with the Big 10.
But Ohio State shouldn’t be judged with the rest of the Big 10, because all by themselves, without that, they haven’t been amazing. Ohio State has a persona that goes with them, and they are always competitive, always competing for a National Championship – but not this year, and that’s because they rarely got the chance to impress against any of the other great teams in college football. They lost to Wisconsin, and the Badgers looked much better than the Buckeyes in that game. They didn’t get a chance to play Michigan State. So, they beat Iowa and Penn State. Yes, Ohio State’s best wins were the 7-5 Hawkeyes and the 7-5 Nittany Lions. Impressed yet? Me neither.
Arkansas didn’t really sail through top opponents, either – but they played some good football against some very good teams, and that has to give them the edge here. The Razorbacks beat LSU, Mississippi State, South Carolina, Texas A&M – all pretty dang good teams. They lost to Auburn 65-43 and Alabama 20-24, but they were up a touchdown early in the 4th quarter against Auburn and up 20-7 late in the 3rd quarter against Alabama. They have the talent to be the best team in the Nation, and they’ve played like it even against the best opponents on their schedule.
I expect Arkansas to win outright.
#6 Ohio State Buckeyes @ #8 Arkansas Razorbacks (+3.5)
Week 13 2010 NCAA Picks REVIEW – College Football Revisited: I was 7-5 in one of the last regular season weeks of the year. Next week there are some conference games left, and some conference playoff action – try to build my record up before bowl season. Here are my picks.
Texas A&M Aggies (-3.5) @ Texas Longhorns (WIN)
This Game was closer than I thought it would be, but it was obvious that the better teams was Texas A&M – they didn’t dominate, but they ended up taking the game in Texas by a touchdown over the Longhorns.
#2 Auburn Tigers (+4.5) @ #11 Alabama Crimson Tide (WIN)
Auburn spotted the Tide a big lead, but just like Alabama came back to beat Arkansas by sticking them in the 2nd half and pouring on points – so Auburn copied their tactics. Auburn let Cam Newton show off his arm a bit, and despite being out-gained, the Tigers willed their way to victory – continuing their undefeated run at a National Championship – winning by a single point, 28-27.
#21 Arizona Wildcats (+20) @ #1 Oregon Ducks (WIN)
The Wildcats kept it close early, but the Ducks came on like gangbusters after going into halftime behind Arizona. It ended up being a 20-point win – or, should I say very close to 20. The Ducks won by 19, giving me a one point cover as I took the Wildcats.
#4 Boise State Broncos (-14) @ #19 Nevada Wolf Pack (Loss)
Boise lost this game, and somehow a whole bunch of respect. Nevada is good, and the Broncos are a field goal away from a victory as time expires. Boise didn’t have an answer for Nevada’s pistol offense in the 2nd half – and they deserved to win in overtime.
Michigan Wolverines @ #8 Ohio State Buckeyes (-17) (WIN)
Seemed easy going in, it was indeed. Ohio State showed why Michigan hasn’t beaten a good team all season long. The can’t stop anybody.
#5 LSU Tiger @ #12 Arkansas Razorbacks (-3) (WIN)
The Razorbacks ended up with a touchdown win over the Tigers, and a shot at a BCS Bowl game if the cards get played right. Ryan Mallet showed some gusto with a 40 yard touchdown pass on 4th and 3 – and the Razorbacks used their 10 point 4th quarter to win by 8.
Northwestern Wildcats (+23.5) @ #7 Wisconsin Badgers (Loss)
The Badgers continue to badger opponents, no kidding, they put up 70+ again and I’m pretty sure they have the best running back stable in the country. Those big boys up front, and anybody the Badgers hand the ball to really get the job done. Wisconsin should be big-bowling when all is said and done.
Florida Gators (+3) @ #22 Florida State Seminoles (Loss)
Well, I was certainly wrong about this one. FSU dominated the Gators and now will play for an ACC Title and a chance at the BCS.
Washington Huskies (+7) @ California Bears (WIN)
And the Huskies win!!! Either way they were going to cover, but going for it on 4th and goal from the 1-yard line was a ballsy call – if only because three straight quarterback sneaks for nothing was a dumb call. It all worked out for Sark, King Jake, and the Dawgs, however – and now all they have to do is beat their biggest rival on the road in December… No problemo…. RIGHT?
Oregon State Beavers (+14.5) @ #6 Stanford Cardinal (Loss)
Standford is one of the best teams in the Nation. Oregon State usually steps up to play against good teams. Not this time. I lose.
#13 Oklahoma Sooners @ #9 Oklahoma State Cowboys (+3) (Loss)
The Sooners got a crazy shootout win against the Cowboys. Oklahoma State never led in this game – but it was tied going into the 4th, and during a crazy 4th quarter where 40 total points were scored between these two teams (31 in the final 4:06) the Cowboys pulled within 2 twice. I thought they might lose by 2 and give me the win. I was wrong – as it would go, the Sooners pulled some trickery and ended up with a 47-41 win in a great game.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ USC Trojans (WIN)
The Irish end up beating USC and covering the spread. It truly was a story of two halves as Notre Dame took a 13-3 lead into the break while USC battle back, scoring 13 straight points in the 2nd half to take a 16-13 lead. But Robert Hughes would run in a touchdown with just over 2 minutes left in the game, and that score would be the difference. ND beat USC 20-16.
NCAA Football Free Pick Michigan Wolverines @ Ohio State Buckeyes: There is nothing about Michigan’s football team that gives them a chance to win this game. A team like Iowa, they are tough as nails and they can stick anyone – Michigan doesn’t have that. Miami didn’t win, but they had the athletes to make Ohio State work, Michigan just has one of those guys – Denard Robinson. And I’m sorry to say, Wolverines, Mr. Robinson’s neighborhood doesn’t hold up their end of the bargain, and Mr. Robinson is only one dude in an awkward sweater, he can’t take down a team like Ohio State all by himself.
Look at Michigan’s season thus far, they’re exciting, have beaten some Big 10 teams, and have gotten themselves into a bowl where they can show off Robinson’s skills. But the only “good” team the Wolverines have come close to is Iowa, and they lost by 10 there – and it probably wasn’t really that close. Michigan State and Wisconsin both handled them pretty well, and while Ohio State might not be better than those two teams, the Buckeyes certainly have the ability to push Michigan around – and that will probably translate to a cover for the Buckeyes.
Ohio State is 8-2-1 ATS this season, and 7-0 at home overall. They play better there. They haven’t had a tough schedule by any means, but since Michigan isn’t tough, they should do just fine. Cover.
Michigan Wolverines @ #8 Ohio State Buckeyes (-17)
Ohio State Buckeyes @ Iowa Hawkeyes Point Spread Betting Picks: I know that Iowa is a very good football team, and their only loss at home this season came in fine 30-31 fashion against a very good Wisconsin team, a Wisconsin team that upset the Buckeyes about a month ago. But Ohio State, as much as I hate to concede it, is a better football team.
The Buckeyes score 41.6 points per game and give up just 13.6. The Hawkeyes have been good, as I said to open this write-up, but even at 30.8 and 15 points respectively, their averages fall below the Buckeyes. Ohio State is 9-1 overall and 8-2 against the spread, doing all they can to exceed the public’s high expectations.
In common opponents, Ohio State seems like the better team there as well. They beat Penn State 38-14 while Iowa played the Nittany Lions tough, they won 24-3. Iowa slipped past the Hoosiers of Indiana, 18-13. Ohio State beat them 38-10. Both teams lost to Wisconsin, though the Hawkeyes played them tougher than the Buckeyes.
I also have to look at what these teams have done lately, and Ohio State has become dominant, winning each of their last 3 games by at least 24 points – outscoring their opponents by a combined 139-24. Iowa barely beat a bad Indiana team and lost at Northwestern last week.
The Hawkeyes have the ability to play with the Buckeyes, definitely, but I just wouldn’t bet on it.
#9 Ohio State Buckeyes (-3) @ #20 Iowa Hawkeyes