Week 11 2010 Waiver Wire Pick-Ups: Waiver Wire Warriors

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pick-Ups: Week 11 Waiver Wire Warriors

We were at it again with some solid advice last week. Arse and I both told you to run-get-Garrard, and he followed through with a nice performance against the always-beatable Houston Texan’s secondary. When we said “get him” the masses listened, doubling his percent owned in fantasy leagues. Garrard went for 28 fantasy points and owners everywhere sent us thank you cards. (Right…) Ryan listed Kitna as a Top 2 pick-up, and Jon ended up with one more point than DG. Josh Freeman had another nice day, and soon people will believe in him on a weekly basis, he’s about as consistent as it gets. Myself and Nate both liked Goodson, and he went for 100 yards on the ground in his first start. Brian Hartline also had a nice day. But guys are gong fast, so go get ‘em if you need ‘em.  Here’s this week’s WWW!

Papa wants to answer your questions, send them to PAPAWEIMER50@hotmail.com – he’ll answer and if it’s good (or if he gets off his lazy rump to copy and paste the interaction), post your stuff in his weekly “Ask Papa Weimer” spot. Here goes Waiver Wire Warriors for Week 11.

(Our WWW pick-ups are limited to guys owned in under 50%. Each writer ranks their Top 6. I’m also going to give you my “Pull The Trigger” area for guys that are obvious pick-ups and still owned in less than 70% of fantasy leagues. And there’s going to be an area called “End It Already” for guys that I consider drop-worthy, or try to trade now-worthy, regardless of their %-Owned.)

Top Waiver Wire Pick-Ups

Top Waiver Wire Pick-Ups (Week 11)

Ryan Kauffman	Josh Arsenault	Papa Weimer	Lucky Lester	Nate B. Kuhns
Matt Cassel	Mike Goodson	Shaun Hill	Jon Kitna	Mike Thomas
Jon Kitna!!!	Rob Gronkowski	Jabar Gaffney	Mike Thomas	Keiland Williams
Danny Amendola	Jermaine Gresham	Mike Goodson	Sidney Rice	Jacoby Ford
James Jones	Tyler Thigpen	Sidney Rice	Jabar Gaffney	Nate Burleson
Jacoby Ford	Sidney Rice	Danny Amendola	Anthony Fasano	Jermaine Gresham
Kevin Smith	Troy Smith	Ben Watson	Tyler Thigpen	Sidney Rice

Pull The Trigger

Jon Kitna - (53% owned): Kitna is good. The Cowboys are loaded with gamebreakers. The Jason Garret-infused Cowboys look to be playing harder and showing a little more confidence. There’s no reason to think the Cowboys can’t torture the Lions’ secondary next week. Go ahead and roll with Kitna if you need some help at QB.

Mike Thomas (7% Owned): If Mike Sims-Walker is tough to trust, Thomas is easy to believe in. He’s always been good, and I’ve loved his game since he was ruining Pac-10 corners for Arizona. Mike Thomas has at least 12 fantasy point in 5 of his last 6 games. His Hail-Mary catch was big, and lucky, but he still had 7 catches and 100 yards receiving before that. Don’t be shy here.

Jabar Gaffney (39% Owned): He’s basically the #2 in an extremely potent passing attack – and he’s consistent, which is just something you rarely get from the WR spot. He’s had at least 50 yards receiving in each of his last 7 games, and he’s had 9 or more fantasy points in 8 of his teams’ 9 games this season. Good enough for me. Use his points.

Mario Manningham (69% Owned): He jumped nearly 20% (give or take) and he made owners proud of their moves. Manningham took advantage of Steve Smith’s absence, and even in a Dallas beatdown of the Giants, the former Wolverine finished with 10 catches, 91 yards, and a touchdown. Pick him up, hurry.

Anthony Fasano (26% Owned): Nate has been doing work if you haven’t noticed. He had his best week as a Lion in Detroit’s tight loss to the Jets, doing work on that famed Jets secondary, going for 113 yards and a touchdown on 7 catches. That’s 24 catches for 210+ yards and 3 touchdowns over the last 4 games. He’s scored 15 or more fantasy points in 3 of those 4 games.

Tyler Thigpen (.02% Owned): The last time Thigpen got starter snaps, he was throwing for 2600 yards and 18 touchdowns in Kansas City, all while running for 386 yards and 3 touchdowns in the process. He seems like the perfect QB for the Dolphins scheme, and he’s always been good at recognizing the team’s best receiving options and giving them chances (bonus for you, Marshall owners). He also loved throwing to Tony Gonzalez in KC, so maybe he’ll aim for Fasano in Miami? All things considered, he makes a lot of plays. He had some big games in 2008, and I expect he’ll have a few this season. Fantasy owners will always thank him for his Fantasy Finals Week performance of 420 yards and 2 touchdowns through the air while rushing for 57 and another score on the ground. Don’t be scurrd…

Brian Hartline (1% Owned): I know white receivers are generally ignored (sorry Steve Largent) but Hartline has been as consistent as you can get from a completely ignored fantasy source. He’s had double digit fantasy points in 5 games this season, and at least 4 catches and 40+ yards in each of his last 5. He’s had 50+ in each of his last 4 and had a season high 98 yards last week. I’m guessing he’s more than 1% owned next week…

James Jones: If Driver is out, he’s a money pick. If not, he’s still a very good receiver and has a solid match-up against the Minnesota Favre’s. Danny Amendola: Touchdowns in 3 straight games, good enough to go on watch-list. Shaun Hill: Still like any quarterback that feels good about throwing it up for Calvin Johnson to grab – Hill has been good at that every time he gets the nod in Detroit.

End It Already

Nate Washington (38% Owned): The Titans aren’t like the Vikings, Moss’s arrival doesn’t help receivers on the other side. It might help the TE spot in Tennessee, but one more WR that demands touches probably just makes the other WRs in Tennessee un-ownable.

Laurent Robinson (40% Owned): He must just not be recovered from his health woes from last year – because I’ve always thought he was solid. He’s been nothing this year… He caught a Touchdown in Week 1, he had 10 points. Since then, the best he’s done is 5 grabs for 33 yards. There are probably 20 receivers less owned than Laurent that I’d rather have on my team.

Ricky Williams (82% Owned): There might not be many better options out there, or there might be 10 – Ricky has double digit fantasy points just twice this season, and one of those was an 11-pointer. Chicago next week, Cleveland and the Jets in 2 of their next 4, so it’s not like his match-ups are good, either.

Tony Romo (55% Owned): I don’t think Romo plays much this year, and holding on to him in case he plays in the playoffs seems ridiculous. Let it go, let it go…

Brent Celek (78% Owned): The dream’s dead. Celek hasn’t done anything with Vick at the Q-spot, and I don’t think Kolb will be winning the job back anytime soon. Do this, drop Celek, pick up one of Heap, Olsen, Petitgrew, Gresham, Scaife, Watson – and be better because of it. If Vick gets hurt, just pick up Celek, nobody else will even have him on the radar because he’s been so ghostly.

A couple guys WE think should be owned in ALL LEAGUES….

Josh Freeman (57%) Pierre Thomas (80%) LeGarrett Blount (78%) Vincent Jackson (56%) Sidney Rice (40%) Jacob Tamme (73%)

Week 10 Waiver Wire Pick Ups: Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Warriors

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pick-Ups: Week 10 Waiver Wire Warriors

If you want some proof of our work, check last week’s Waiver Wire Warriors article where we advised the masses that “Mike Wiliams-TB (56%), Steve Johnson (51%), Davonne Bess (51%) Josh Freeman (26%) and Sam Bradford (28%) should be owned in all leagues.” As it just so happens to be, every single one of those guys (aside from Sam I am, because he was on bye) produced starter-worthy stat-lines. Steve Johnson was the #5 WR with 11 grabs for 145 yards. Mike Williams was the #16 WR with 4 grabs for 89 yards and a touchdown. Davone Bess didn’t light it up, but 5 grabs for 50 yards made him startable as teh 30th WR for Week 9. And Freeman put up 17 fantasy points, good for 14th amongst QBs. Believe! And that’s just the beginning, because if you listened to me about James Jones you probably got a huge day from a rarely owned WR, and the same can be said for guys that listened to Josh and Nate about Jacob Tamme – dude put up monster stats in Dallas Clark’s spot- I think it’s a trend. Here’s this week’s WWW!

Papa wants to answer your questions, send them to PAPAWEIMER50@hotmail.com – he’ll answer and if it’s good, post your stuff in his weekly “Ask Papa Weimer” sections. Here goes Waiver Wire Warriors for Week 10.

(We are switching our WWW article from guys under 20% owned in ESPN leagues to guys owned in under 50%. Don’t worry, we’ll still have some low-level guys to pick-up, we just don’t want to leave out obvious options. Just like the weekly fantasy rankings, each writer ranks their Top 5. I’m also going to give you my “Pull The Trigger” area for guys that are obvious pick-ups and still owned in less than 70% of fantasy leagues. And there’s going to be an area called “End It Already” for guys that I consider drop-worthy, or try to trade now-worthy, regardless of their %-Owned.)

Top Waiver Wire Pick-Ups

Top Waiver Wire Pick-Ups (Week 10)

Ryan Kauffman	Josh Arsenault	Papa Weimer	Lucky Lester	Nate B. Kuhns
Sam Bradford	Colt McCoy	Davone Bess	David Garrard	Sidney Rice
Jon Kitna	David Garrard	Jabar Gaffney	Shaun Hill	Mario Manningham
Mike Hart	Jimmy Graham	Nate Washington	Sam Bradford	Mike Goodman
Marcel Reece	Arrelious Benn	Sidney Rice	Nate Burleson	Brian Hartline
Sidney Rice	Tashard Choice	Ryan Fitzpatrick	Mike Goodman	Mohamed Massaquoi
Nate Burleson	Sam Bradford	Blair White	Josh Freeman	Sam Bradford

I cut off everyone from picking up guys going into that players’ bye week, so James Jones won’t be seen on anybody’s list and neither will any other Packers, Saints, Raiders, or Chargers… I’ll list a couple guys we’re interested off of those teams below.

Bye Week guys that could be solid pick-ups (We all think picking up VJ is a good idea, Vincent Jackson 52% owned, Arse and Papa both like Jacoby Ford .1%, James Jones 5.4% owned, Arse likes Jimmy Graham .1% owned, and then there is Seyi Ajirotutu – if Charger receivers still aren’t ready after the bye, keep him on your minds)

Pull The Trigger

Steve Breaston - (53% owned): Breaston didn’t have a great week to follow up his big performance two weeks ago, but he still has a lovely schedule in the next four games, going up against Seattle’s little corners the KC, San Francisco, and St, Louis. He could have a nice little stretch there if Derek Anderson can complete at least 50% of his passes.

Steve Johnson (64% Owned): Steve jumped another 13% in ownership this week, making that nearly 40% more people owning the top Buffalo WR. Something tells me that next week he won’t be under 70% owned, making him unavailable for this list. Still, what’s not to like? Now with Roscoe Parrish out, Steve will likely see even a couple more targets per game. Fitzpatrick has been the best thing Buffalo WRs have had going in years – take advantage and get Steve if he’s there to be got.

Josh Freeman (43% Owned): Aside from his elite consistency (another 17 point week in Week 9 means he’s finished with 17 points or more in 6 games this season) Freeman has one hell of a playoff schedule, and you know the Bucs aren’t going to be “resting their starters” come playoff time. All Josh has done is be one of the most consistent sophomore QBs in some time. Can you say Washington, Detroit, and Seattle? That’s money right there. That’s like no lines at 6 flags, like free gummy bears for life, like double pay-checks – it’s good.

Mario Manningham (49% Owned): Just 4 catches for 56 yards last week, but Manningham is basically good for that just about every week. He didn’t score any fantasy points in Week 4 and Week 5, but he’s been good for 12, 20, 13, 14, 13, and 9 in those other 6 weeks – ain’t nothing wrong with that.

Nate Burleson (26% Owned): Nate has been doing work if you haven’t noticed. He had his best week as a Lion in Detroit’s tight loss to the Jets, doing work on that famed Jets secondary, going for 113 yards and a touchdown on 7 catches. That’s 24 catches for 210+ yards and 3 touchdowns over the last 4 games. He’s scored 15 or more fantasy points in 3 of those 4 games.

David Garrard (26% Owned): David played awesome coming off a week off when he and the Jags visited Dallas a week after he sat due to injury. Well, after another week off (his bye) Garrard plays the chronically poor Houston Texans secondary where he might just have another huge game. If you need a good week from a guy, going with DG for Week 10 might be a great option.

Sidney Rice (31% Owned): Sidney is a huge pick up right now. He could be playing as early as next week, and he could be playing a lot in 2 to 3. That kind of possibly production, really high upside, is worth stashing right now. Go. Stash. Hurry!

Blair White: With Collie out he could be a solid fill-in. Brian Hartline: At least 4 catches for 40+ yards in 5 of his last 6 games. Shaun Hill: Had 27, 11, 27, and 23 fantasy points in the 4 games he started and finished for the Lions this year – sees Buffalo, Dallas, and New England in the next 3, not really shut down secondaries – if he starts he could be great for you.

End It Already

Deion Branch (52% Owned): It may be his hamstring, it may be that once defenses realized they actually had to guard him now that Tom Brady was throwing the ball, but I don’t Branch having an upside over 5 grabs for 50 yards the rest of the season.

Marion Barber (69% Owned): Have you had enough yet? Only 3% of you cut Barber last week. It’s time. Take your chance on a guy like Hightower, Woodhead, Mike Goodson, even Tashard Choice (at least we don’t know what he’s going to do, yet). I’ve always been a big MBIII fan, but he’s lost something and I don’t see him finding it this season.

Lance Moore (82% Owned): Okay, last chance, it’s either hold on to him and hope his value doesn’t take a huge hit with Bush’s return, or find some owner that thinks Moore is going to continue his production (that’s foolish, but you never know).

Steve Smith (CAR) (97% Owned): Can you drop him? Probably not – but it wouldn’t be as crazy as it seems. Look at the numbers – are Tony Pike and Jimmy Claussen going to get the ball to SS enough to make him fantasy worthy down the 2nd half of the trail? I don’t think so, do you? Find somebody who does, or maybe it’s best not to rely on Steve at all – bench him (at least) until you find out he can produce with the guy throwing the ball.

Kenny Britt (68% Owned): If it’s a deep league, hold on just in case. In fact, hold on until further notice unless you can get top dollar for Britt. Kenny is rumored to be out 6-8 weeks, aka the rest of meaningful fantasy football. If you have an IR spot in your league, go ahead, stick Kenny there, but if you don’t and you need guys, it might be best to cut your losses and pick up another up and coming WR.

A couple guys WE think should be owned in ALL LEAGUES….

Brett Favre (77%) Steve Johnson (64%) Davone Bess (31%) Vincent Jackson (52%) Sidney Rice (31%)

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pick-Ups: Week 9 Waiver Wire Warriors

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pick-Ups: Week 9 Waiver Wire Warriors: Well, team LuckyLester hit a couple right on the head in our 1st Waiver Wire Warrior s article. The new addition to our weekly writings was a big hit, not only in mass readership, but in the production our pick-ups gave owners this week. Of course we’re not going to nail every waiver pick-up, but certainly those of you who grabbed LaGarrette Blount, Danny Woodhead, Steve Johnson, Davone Bess, Brandon Tate, or Brandon Pettitgrew all ended up with touchdowns and more for your Week 8 match-up. Hopefully we can give you some more pearls of wisdom for Week 9.

Remember, if you have any fantasy football questions, and want to get them answered by Papa Weimer himself, send your questions to PAPAWEIMER50@hotmail.com – you’re bound to get something informative at the very least. Here goes Waiver Wire Warriors for Week 9.

(Our Waiver Wire analysis, and top pick-ups, will be limited to guys that are under 20% owned in ESPN leagues. That means the guys we suggest should be available in about 80% of fantasy leagues out there and should help you out. Just like the weekly fantasy rankings, each guy agreed to give their Top 5 (even though we play in the same leagues together and that might be considered top-secret information). I’m also going to give you my “Pull The Trigger” area for guys that are obvious pick-ups and still owned in less than 60% of fantasy leagues. And there’s going to be an area called “End It Already” for guys that I consider drop-worthy, or try to trade now-worthy, regardless of their %-Owned.)

Top Waiver Wire Pick-Ups

Top Waiver Wire Pick-Ups (For Week 9)

Ryan Kauffman	Josh Arsenault	Papa Weimer	Lucky Lester	Nate B. Kuhns
Troy Smith	LeGarrette Blount	Jordy Nelson	LeGarrette Blount	Anthony Gonzalez
LeGarrette Blount	Rams D/ST	LeGarrette Blount	James Jones	Darrius Heyward-Bey
Mike Hart	Jordy Nelson	Jason Campbell	Patrick Crayton	Jacob Tamme
Jason Campbell	Damian Williams	Roscoe Parrish	Mike Thomas	Mike Hart
Brandon Tate	Troy Smith	Patrick Crayton	Brandon Gibson	Josh Freeman
Patrick Crayton	Jacob Tamme	Brandon Tate	Troy Smith	LeGarrette Blount

I like James Jones while nobody else does. This is my thinking. At the #2 this week or the #3 (behind Jordy Nelson) whichever he plays, he’s still going to get plenty of looks. James has huge play potential, and with Finley out for the season and Driver hobbled and likely at least out for this week, Jones should be in line for some solid looks in Week 9. Their thinking could be his zero catches last week against New York. We all dig LeGarrette Blount, still, obviously – we liked him last week and he did some big things in Week 8  – he’s a beast and you never know, he might just punch you in the face. I’ve always liked Troy Smith and I’m willing to bet he holds onto the job even when Alex Smith comes back – so if you’re in a deep league, he might be a nice pick-up for you.

Pull The Trigger

Mike Williams -TB (58% owned): I can’t believe it, but the masses don’t think like I do. Weird. What do I mean? I listed this guy at the top of my list for cats you should pick up and hurry, and he dropped a percentage this week. So what did he do? Oh, just score again, on a big time play – so what is this, his 5th double digit fantasy day as a WR, and his 2nd 20+ point game already this season. Just pick him up already, Roy Williams and Deion Branch owners…

Steve Johnson (51% Owned): Steve jumped more than 36 percentage points in ownership this week, and for good reason. Still, he’s owned in just half of leagues out there (well a percentage over half, but you get me). You can’t get him in all your leagues, but this guy is probably a better option than Donald Driver, Roy Williams, and Braylon Edwards moving forward – I’m not saying drop those 3 guys immediately, but find room for Steve -he has a touchdown in 5 straight now, and 5 or more catches in each of his last 3 games. Ryan Fitzpatrick likes his style, and so should you.

Josh Freeman (26% Owned): All Josh has done is be one of the most consistent sophomore QBs in some time. I know that “consistent” isn’t fantasy-speak for “sexy” but hey, what more can you ask for from your #2 QB than what Freeman is dealing out every single week? For being 26% owned, it’s crazy how solid he’s been. Only once this season has Freeman finished under 14 points (against Pittsburgh, give him a break), and already 5 times he’s finished with 18 points or more. Sure, he hasn’t scored more than 20, but what do you want from your fantasy guys (especially #2 QBs)? Do you want a guy that gets 26 then 4 then 22 then 8? No thanks, I’ll take 15 every week, and that’s what Freeman gives you, except it’s usually 18.

Davone Bess (31% Owned): Bess jumped 12% from last week, but he’s still owned in just under 1/3 of fantasy leagues. If it’s being the #3 receiver that worries you, he just took the #2 spot from Brian Hartline. The bottom line here is that Bess is the biggest play guy opposite Brandon Marshall, and BM gets most of the coverage and attention so Bess should continue to capitalize.

Jabar Gaffney (54% Owned): Not a flashy player by any means, but you could do a lot worse than a WR play for 4 catches and 50 yards at it’s lowest total. Because that’s what Gaffney has (at the very least) in each of his last 6 games. He has just 1 TD on the season, and he rarely gets above 14 fantasy points (just twice) but as far as sure thing numbers go, for a fill in guy, he’s a pretty solid bet.

End It Already

Deion Branch (71% Owned): Honestly, I know he came in and rubbed fantasy points all over the field, but I’d rather have Mike Thomas, Steve Johnson, James Jones, Danny Amdendola, and Davone Bess than Branch, and all those guys are way less owned than Branch.

Marion Barber (72% Owned): Still here from last week, but more people are dropping him… (down nearly 10% from last week) I don’t know if it’s Marion’s fault, but that running game in Dallas is atrocious, and Barber didn’t look good this weekend despite his touchdown.

Lance Moore (73% Owned): I’m sticking with dealing Moore – now’s the time, even better than last week. Bush will almost certainly be back after the Saints’ bye, and that’s when Moore will submit to a lesser role. You have a week of value left, treat it wisely!

Donald Brown (67% Owned): I’ve always liked Brown, but Mike Hart ran with much more success than Brown, seemingly taking the #2 spot from the former #1 overall pick, and Brown has another injury after Monday Night’s game – might be a good time to deal him if someone still believes in him as a handcuff.

Roy Williams (74% Owned): If somebody still buys the 5 touchdown guy from week 3, 5, and 6 then SELL!!!! If not, well, he’s hard to drop, yes, but I don’t think he’s easy to hold onto either. I’m predicting maybe 2 double digit fantasy performances over the rest of the season, a drop to 3rd on the depth chart (soon), and a pretty-unownable guy moving forward. I wouldn’t drop him yet, for the chance that I’m wrong, but if you can trade him to help your team somewhere, as a throw in with another good player for a better player, I think it’s a great move.

A couple guys WE think should be owned in ALL LEAGUES….

Mike Williams-TB (56%) Steve Johnson (51%) Davone Bess (31%) Josh Freeman (26%) Sam Bradford (28%)

Week 1 Waiver Watch 2010: Thing 1 and Thing 2

What’s up party people, your favorite Alaskan resident PE Teacher/freelance sportswriter is back for another season of spreading the fantasy knowledge.  After looking over some of my Thing 1 and Thing 2 articles from a year ago, I realized that owners that payed a attention to the words in this column did very well for themselves down the stretch.  For those in keeper leagues, my advice toward owners in week 6 of last year was to go out and grab Chad Henne (3% ownership at the time), Justin Forsett (1%), Mike Wallace (3%) and Jermichael Finley (15%) – how are those guys looking about now?

The point once again is that titles are rarely won on draft day.  The owners that put in their due diligence and work the waiver wires and their fellow league members throughout the grind are those that more often than not find themselves with a shot at the ‘ship when the weather turns cold.

So if you’re new to the crew or a returning reader off your game, here’s how this column works.  I will throw out stat-lines for two players at a time (Thing 1 and Thing 2).  Though the production of these two players will be similar, their ownership will not be – Thing 1 will be owned in most leagues and Thing 2 will be a guy you have a good shot at adding if you can beat your fellow league members to the punch.  For the quickest updates following the weekend action, stay up to date by following me on Twitter @AlaskanArse or by checking in on the site daily – now let’s get down to business.

Thing 1: This QB with a roller coaster past took over as starter for his club last year and led them on an impressive second half run.  He is capable of making plays with his legs and his arm and is owned in 95% of ESPN standard leagues.

Thing 2: A supremely talented athlete with a similarly checkered past, this QB will get an opportunity to start at least a game or two for his club.  His playmaking ability is second to none and he is currently owned in just 7% of leagues.

Reality Check: Thing 1 is Vince Young and Thing 2 is Michael Vick.  Although Vick’s hold on the starting job in Philly is tenuous at best, he will make head coach Andy Reid’s decision tougher if the Eagles respond as they did in nearly coming all the way back against a very good Packer team in week 1.  Vick has never been known for his passing efficiency, but he is surrounded by more weapons than ever before and his trademark speed and elusiveness have returned.  The Eagles get the Lions and Jags in the next two weeks, and Vick could be among the highest scoring fantasy QBs in the league during that stretch.

Thing 1: This running back totaled 63 yards on 18 carries in week 1.  Despite being owned in 100% of standard leagues as the unquestioned starter on his team, his upside is limited and his best years are behind him.

Thing 2: This running back also totaled 63 yards on 18 carries in week 1.  Despite being owned in just 2% of standard leagues, this player is now the unquestioned starter on an explosive offense who may be poised for a breakout season.

Reality Check: Thing 1 is Clinton Portis and Thing 2 is Brandon Jackson.  A nasty ankle injury to Packer RB Ryan Grant will likely sideline him for the season.  Jackson will likely be the hottest waiver commodity in most leagues this week but he is deserves it.  The 24-year-old former Husker has shown flashes of brilliance in his career as a backup and now has the opportunity to show what he can do.  A gifted pass catcher out of the backfield, Jackson may be a better fit for the explosive Packer passing attack than the injured incumbent Grant.  I am all-in on BJ’s fantasy prospects this season, and wouldn’t be at all surprised to see him crack the top-15 RBs in PPR leagues.

Thing 1: This veteran WR had a disappointing opening week and may see his production drop in 2010 due to roster changes.  He is known for his steady production and is currently owned in 100% of standard leagues.

Thing 2: This veteran WR had a surprising opening week and may see his production increase in 2010 due to new surroundings.  He has been inconsistent during his career and is currently owned in 5% of standard leagues.

Reality Check: Thing 1 is Derrick Mason and Thing 2 is Mark Clayton.  Given the arrival of Anquan Boldin, Mason’s days as the #1 target in Baltimore are likely over.  A healthy Todd Heap, plus the addition of TJ Whoseyourdaddy will only serve to further muddy the target breakdown.  Clayton on the other hand has landed in an ideal situation in St. Louis where injuries depleted the Rams’ receivers corps in the preseason.  If week 1 is any indication, Clayton and young QB Sam Bradford have already developed a decent rapport.  The Rams are improving but will still find themselves behind in a lot of games (Bradford slung the rock 55 times in their week 1 loss to the Cardinals).  I like Clayton to outproduce his former teammate in 2010, and you can get him on the cheap if you act quickly.

Ten for Tuesday

This isn’t going to be as wordy as most of my stuff – but it might just give you a life line moving forward…

Guys I like to pick up this week…

Brady Quinn – He’s intriguing, what can I say? It’s not like his offense doesn’t have talent, and I’ll promise he’s more accurate than Derek Anderson – that right there is enough for me.

Tyler Thigpen – One day I’ll learn not to pull the trigger on Coastal Carolina quarterbacks, but not this time. Nope. Tyler has some very good passing match-ups coming up here, he might help a fool down the line.

Sage Rosenfels – You bet. I don’t think the Texans lose that much with Sage coming in for Matt – a little, yes, but not that much. Sage will still put the ball in the air a lot.

Timothy Hightower – His name says toughness, his running style does to – but don’t get crazy over this kid – don’t give up a lot to get him – they played one of, if not the worst run defense in the league last week, a D giving up 150+ on the ground. He’s a solid pick-up, but he’s not a sure thing starter every week.

Jamal Charles – This kid is fast and you know the Chiefs will give him the ball. KC is doing everything they can to rid themselves of Larry Johnson, and Charles is fast enough to break a run against solid defenses. That being said, he plays for the Chiefs and I’m not in love with the guy. I might rather have Jerious Norwood, and he’s a back-up.

Ryan Torain  - I actually like him more than Charles. Pittman and Hall are out for the year, Torain has lots of upside, Selvin Young doesn’t seem to be a favorite of Splinter. If Young’s on your waiver wire, he might be worth an addition as well.

Joe Flacco – I like the kid. He might not have many weeks like he did last time around, but I like the kid to do some right and very little wrong. He’s solid.

Sammy Morris – when he comes back he’ll be the guy getting all those Ben-Jarvis Green-Ellis carries. The Patriots will continue to run the ball with Tom out for the year.

Guys I don’t like besides recent adding activity…

Rex Grossman – I’m off his fan bus.

Cedric Benson – I know he has a nice game, but Benson doesn’t do it for me.

Kevin Boss – This guy killed me too much to start the year, he’s too good at blocking for a team with lots of receiving options.

Guys I wouldn’t drop just yet…

Josh Morgan – I don’t like that he dropped a ball and got benched, that seems like a joke, but the kid has skills and could be nice the rest of the year. Wait a week on him.

Matt Schaub – unless you are dying for a roster spot and need lots of wins in these next few weeks before playoffs, I would try to hold on to Matt – he’s solid.