Cowboys @ Bengals, Rams @ Bills, Ravens @ Redskins, Chiefs @ Browns: Picks
December 9, 2012 by luckylester · Leave a Comment
Dallas Cowboys @ Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5)
And this would be the week the Cowboys stink it up again. Sure, they may be 6-6 and looking for 5 straight wins (counting last week) to make the playoffs. Please. All they did was beat the Eagles last week and they gave up a gazillion yards doing so. The Eagles have been playing terribly. Cincinnati invites “America’s Team” to town, and it comes at a good time for the Bengals as Cinci has pulled off four straight wins, winning by an average of over two touchdowns during those four games. In other words, they are playing their best football. Cinci by double digits.
St. Louis Rams (+3) @ Buffalo Bills
I just believe the Rams are a lot better than they’re given credit for and that translates to road wins against teams like Buffalo. St. Louis is decent defensively, and they’ve been running it a lot better lately, something that will play a big role on the road. Sam Bradford needs weapons if this team is going to the compete in the NFC West, but as is they should find a cover in Buffalo.
Baltimore Ravens (+2.5) @ Washington Redskins
Everything in me wants to pick the Redskins here, but I just don’t think they’re tough enough to outlast the Ravens. Sure, the Ravens’ offense has been horrendous of late, but they should be able to find some big plays through the air against a Redskins’ team that gives up that big play. Look for Ray Rice to log some usage on Sunday, eventually helping the Ravens outlast the Redskins.
Kansas City Chiefs (+7) @ Cleveland Browns
It’s as easy as neither of these teams being 7-point favorites in an NFL game. What I mean by this is neither of them should be touchdown favorites. The Browns, for some reason, are. They should be bet against.
Free Football Picks for 2012 Week 13 NFL Matchups
December 1, 2012 by luckylester · Leave a Comment
Cincinnati Bengals (pk) @ San Diego Chargers
I’ve seen the Bengals favored, even, even a dog. I say even is about right, except that I wouldn’t trust the Chargers to do anything in an even situation. Rivers has either regressed mightily, gotten into terrible habits because his offensive line doesn’t protect, lost his best receiver (VJ, the guy he just threw it up to) and has watched his TE lose tha burst that made him the league’s best, or has just finally been figured out as a QB that can’t do anything outside the pocket and needs passing lanes to short arm his marshmallows down field. Or all of the above. Like I said, I just can’t take the Chargers.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+7.5) @ Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens haven’t been good enough to give more than a touchdown to. I know the Steelers have been terrible offensively since the Ben went out (yeah, the Ben), but they are going to run it better against the Ravens’ porous run defense, and maybe, just maybe, Batch gets Wallace or Brown to break a short one deep to cover this one right up. Close game, even in Baltimore, even without the Ben.
Cleveland Browns (-2) @ Oakland Raiders
I can’t believe I’m taking the Browns as a favorite on the road. Getting healthy, getting better, and taking on Oakland – yeah, not much of a choice.
Philadelphia Eagles (+11) @ Dallas Cowboys
I’m taking points because both of these teams love to blow freebies. Both of these teams should be starting over next year, but it looks like only Philly is willing to make that commitment to change. I like their big rookie RB to make enough plays in this one to keep it within double digits.
New York Giants (-2.5) @ Washington Redskins
Interesting Monday Nighter as this one was close last time around in New York, and if Washington wants any sniff of the postseason, they’ll have to win this game. Still, the Giants are the better team, all the way around, and that will show on Monday, I’m almost sure.
Seahawks @ Dolphins – Raiders @ Bengals – Steelers @ Browns: Week 12 Picks
November 25, 2012 by luckylester · Leave a Comment
Seattle Seahawks @ Miami Dolphins (+3)
I really like the Hawks, even got over Pete Carol’s raw-raw antics and thin he’s one hell of a motivator and coach. I even hope I’m wrong about this. What I see is a Hawks team that doesn’t do a very good job playing to dominate. They play not to lose for much of the game and then rely on a couple key plays to seal the victory. Well, sometimes that doesn’t work out despite being better than their opponent. I like the bet with Miami – getting three, at home, playing a west coast team that is just about as far on the road as it gets.
Oakland Raiders (+8.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals
The Raiders aren’t good, but I’m willing to bet that Carson Palmer comes out and has a nice game against his former team, and despite being a high scoring game, keeps this one close enough to cover. All they need is big defensive play or a return on special teams and this one is a lock.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-1.5) @ Cleveland Browns
This is just the type of team that Pittsburgh needs to get a much needed win. I know there’s no Big Ben, and the Browns are playing better of late, but this Steeler D is playing like it’s up to them if they want to win. I think they play dang near perfect and get a big road win against the Browns.
Jaguars @ Packers, Dolphins @ Jets, Chargers @ Browns, Patriots @ Rams
October 27, 2012 by luckylester · Leave a Comment
7-4-2 last week with a couple close losses/pushes. Looking to add to that winning record this week!
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Green Bay Packers (-14.5)
I know this is a no-no because of the big number, but I’m not in the business of caring much about no-no’s and “guarantees” so I’ll just pick it how I see it. The heart of Jacksonville is out for a few weeks (at least – MJD), their QB is bad and he has a torn labrum in his pull shoulder, plus with everyone healthy and prospering the team is not one ounce of good. The Packers are still an elite offense, and defensively they might just play well this weekend. Ill take them Packers.
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets (-1)
The only backing for this pick is that I think the Jets are going to win. They are back to running the ball with some umph, and their defense is playing a little bit better. Still, the Dolphins might have the better defense, and an offense that has been explosive at times this year. Still, I like the Jets to sneak one out at home.
San Diego Chargers (-2.5) @ Cleveland Browns
There is no reason the Chargers should be favored on the road against anyone. They are bad offensively and defensively they give up a lot of big plays. That being said, can the Browns produce a lot of big plays with a dinged up Trent Richardson? I feel like Ryan Mathews might just shine in Cleveland and win one for the Chargers.
New England Patriots (-7) @ St. Louis Rams
I’d stay away from the London game, it’s always weird. That being said, it’s hard to believe that St. Louis can score with the Patriots, even after a trip across the Atlantic. Sam Bradford might have a solid day, but the consistency just isn’t there with the Rams O. If I’m forced to go one way or another, it’s Tom Terrific and his Patriots, they’ve always been decent after the big trip.
Ravens V Texans – Browns V Colts – Packers V Rams NFL Free Picks
October 21, 2012 by luckylester · Leave a Comment
Baltimore Ravens (+7) @ Houston Texans
I think this line absolutely reflects what everyone believes will be too big of a loss for the Ravens, Ray Lewis’s injury. But what people are forgetting is that Brian Cushing (arguably just as if not more important to his own defense) is already out for the season for the Texans. And since that loss the Texans haven’t looked nearly as formidable defensively. Cushing was the best player on that Texans’ defense. All things being considered, the line is much too heavy to bet against a very good Ravens team.
Cleveland Browns (+1) @ Indianapolis Colts
I know the Colts won a big game a few weeks ago and that Andrew Luck has all the big time prospect labels a guy can get, but Brandon Weeden is coming around for the Browns as well, and this young team is getting better offensively with some pretty explosive players like Trent Richardson and Josh Gordon. The offensive line has always been decent with one of the best in the game in Joe Thomas. More importantly, the Colts defense is no bueno, even worse than the Browns. Also, the Colts can’t really run it which makes them very one-dimensional. That’s also no bueno.
Green Bay Packers (-5) @ St. Louis Rams
I haven’t even checked the public bet on this one but I already know it’s over 70% – it’s a huge sucker bet for sure as Green Bay just hasn’t been good outside of one game and the Rams defense is solid. That being said, a touchdown wins it for me? Even on their best days, the Rams aren’t putting up three touchdowns and I think Green Bay gets four and a field goal or two. Call me a sucker, but I’m going Packers.
Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns Free Pick Prediction Point Spread Odds Line Week 4 09/27/2012
September 25, 2012 by admin · Leave a Comment
The winless Cleveland Browns take on AFC North division rival the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday Night Football at M&T Bank Stadium.
Kick-off is 5:20 pm ET on the NFL Network.
NFL Picks odds opened with the Ravens as a 12-point favorite but they were quickly bet up to 14-point favorites. On the moneyline, Baltimore is an -800 favorite and the Browns are a +580 underdog. The over/under total is at 43.5, down from the opening of 45.
Head to head, the Ravens have dominated straight up over the past 10 games at 8-2 SU but are just 6-4 against the spread. Baltimore won both meetings last season. The Ravens beat the Browns 20-14 in their last meeting on Dec. 24 but failed to cover as a 10.5-point home favorite. The score was under the total of 38.
Baltimore won the first meeting on Dec. 4 by a score of 24-10 and cashed as a 7-point road favorite. That score also stayed under the total, as have the past three meetings.
Last week, Cleveland (0-3 SU, 1-1-1 ATS) lost 24-14 to the Buffalo Bills and failed to cash as a 2.5-point home underdog. Baltimore (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) beat the New England Patriots 31-30 on Sunday Night Football but failed to cover as a 2-5-point home favorites.
NFL Betting trends show the Browns are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road, and Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns free NFL betting pick is available right now to all callers to Lester’s courtesy line by dialing 1-800-293-0127.
Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns Prediction Pick Point Spread Odds Line Week 3 09/23/2012
September 20, 2012 by admin · Leave a Comment
The Buffalo Bills and the Cleveland Browns clash in National Football League action on Sunday at Cleveland Browns Stadium.
Football Betting fans can catch this game live on CBS starting at 1 pm ET.
NFL Handicappers odds have the Bills as a 3-point favorite while the over/under total is at 43.5.
The Browns are 3-2 straight up and against the spread in the past five meetings. The teams last met in 2010.
Buffalo beat the Kansas City Chiefs 35-17 on Sunday and cashed as a 3-point road favorite. The score was over the total. And Cleveland remained winless with a 34-27 setback to the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday. The score was a push of the 7-point spread and the score was over the total.
Buffalo heads into Week 3 at 1-1 SU and 1-1 ATS, while Cleveland has dropped both games this season and is 0-2 SU and 1-0-1 ATS.
Buffalo is 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games. The total has gone over in 5 of the Bills’ last 5 games overall, and in 8 of Buffalo’s last 10 games on the road.
Cleveland is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games overall, and 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home. The total has gone under in 5 of Cleveland’s last 5 games at home, and in 11 of Cleveland’s last 14 games overall.
The Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns free NFL betting prediction is available right now to all callers to Lester’s courtesy line by dialing 1-800-293-0127.
Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction Pick Point Spread Odds Line Week 2 09/16/2012
September 13, 2012 by admin · Leave a Comment
The Cleveland Browns take on AFC North rival the Cincinnati Bengals in the Bengals’ opener on Sunday at Paul Brown Stadium.
Kick-off is 1 pm ET with live coverage on local CBS stations.
Football Picks have the Bengals as a 7-point favorite, while the moneyline odds have Cincinnati as a -310 favorite and the Browns a +255 underdog. The over/under total is at 38.
The Bengals are 7-3 SU in the past 10 head-to-head meetings but the Browns have the edge against the spread at 6-4. Cincinnati won both meetings last season and each team was 1-1 ATS. The Bengals are 7-1 SU in the last 8 meetings at home. The total has gone under in 4 of the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.
Cleveland (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS) was a 17-16 loser against the Philadelphia Eagles last week, but the Browns covered the spread as an 8.5-point underdog, while the score was under the total.
Cincinnati (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS) lost 44-13 against the division-rival Baltimore Ravens on Monday Night Football, failed to cash as a 7-point underdog, while the score was over the total.
Sports Picks trends show that the total has gone under in 11 of Cleveland’s last 13 games overall, and in 8 of Cleveland’s last 11 games on the road. The total has gone over in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 7 games at home.
The Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals free NFL betting prediction is available right now to all callers to Lester’s courtesy line by dialing 1-800-293-0127.
Philadelphia Eagles vs Cleveland Browns Pick Prediction Point Spread Odds Line Week 1 09/09/2012
September 4, 2012 by admin · Leave a Comment
The Philadelphia Eagles and the Cleveland Browns battle in the 2012 NFL season opening game for both teams on Sunday at Browns Stadium.
NFL Odds had the Eagles opening as a 6.5-point favorite but money on Philadelphia has pushed them all the way up to 9-point favorites at most sportsbooks. On the moneyline odds, the Eagles are anywhere from a -420 to -460 favorite, and the Browns are a +320 to +350 underdog. The over/under total opened at 41.5 but money on the over has pushed the number up to 43.5 at most books.
Philadelphia had a disappointing season last year, going 8-8 SU and ATS and failing to make the NFL Playoffs. Cleveland was even worse at 4-12 SU and 8-6-2 ATS.
Head to head, the Eagles are a perfect 3-0 SU but just 1-2 ATS in the last three meetings. This is the first meeting since Dec. 15, 2008, when the Eagles won 30-10 and covered the spread as a 16-point home favorite.
Football Picks trends show that Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last five games overall, and also 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road. The total has gone under in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games on the road, and in 5 of its last 5 games at home.
Cleveland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home, and is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home. The total has gone under in 10 of Cleveland’s last 12 games.
The Philadelphia Eagles vs Cleveland Browns free NFL betting prediction is available right now to all callers to Lester’s courtesy line by dialing 1-800-293-0127.
NFL Free Picks for Week 17 Football Matchups
January 1, 2012 by luckylester · Leave a Comment
Seattle Seahawks (+3) @ Arizona Cardinals
Tough one, but Pete Carol gets his guys to play hard and with nothing on the line for either side, I’ll always take a team he coaches. I like Lynch to have a big day to end a great year, even though the Cardinals defense has been tough down the stretch. I just like the Hawks a lot better in this one.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons (-11.5)
I was a little confused earlier this week, but the Falcons are in. They might not put out a full effort on Sunday, regardless, as it’s almost certain that with Green Bay resting, Detroit will win, and Atlanta will be destined for the 6 seed. Still, I can’t buy the Bucs right now. Did I mention that Tampa mailed it in 6 weeks ago?
The Browns have a solid defense and the Steelers will be holding some guys out and trying to keep Ben in long enough to cover. Smells like a gross game plan that won’t work out. The Browns are good, but they’re tough, tough enough for +7 in this situation.
Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals (+2)
I know, I know, the Ravens have said the right things all week long, and they are looking for a first round bye and home field advantage, and this could be looked at as a playoff game for them if you squint your eyes, cock your head to the left, and keep the sun out of your eyes with your hands (like Tiger Woods when he’s putting). But the bottom line is that IT IS A PLAYOFF for the Bengals. They win, they continue, they lose, they’re out. I have to take the home team getting points, a good team, playing a loser out game against a team that is already in. Call it “want to”.


