Denver Broncos @ Oakland Raiders Thursday Night Free Pick
December 6, 2012 by luckylester
What can I say? Weird stuff happens on Thursday Nights, right? It’s a short week, it’s late in the season, defenses usually have a hand up on the offenses… Unless you’re playing Peyton Manning, I guess. And unless you’re Oakland… So, sure, this is a 10 point spread, but can we really find any reason to go against the Broncos whilst in Oakland?
Some will say that Oakland has won ATS 4 of the last 6 against the Broncos, but can a team led by Tim Tebow or Kyle Orton be compared to one led by the holiest of Peyton’s?? Did you know that, at home, Oakland has one single win against the spread in the last 10 games? One. Did you know that they’ve lost 5 straight? You’re probably saying, “Yes, I did know that, but I thought it was more than just 5.” – Me too. Did you know that Oakland is playing like their coach is getting fired after the season? Well, he probably is, so what do you expect?
McFadden is back, sure, but he couldn’t rush for over 3 yards a carry when he was healthy. The Broncos have lost their last three games against the spread, despite winning by 7, 8, and 8… Their opponents haven’t been good, and maybe there’s something to my claim that Peyton doesn’t take as many chances against lesser opponents, making the games somewhat closer.
All that being said, Denver is riding an awfully hot streak right now, and they are doing damage on the road this season, winning 4 away from the high altitude and covering in three of those contests. I’ll be on Peyton, take the Broncos giving 10.