Week 7 Thursday Night Football Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers Free Pick
October 17, 2012 by luckylester
Sure, it’s fair to say that the Seattle Seahawks are just a much better team at home than they are on the road, as they’ve struggled away from Century Link Field but that doesn’t mean their defense is any less impressive. This is a group that is very hard to score on, as Mr. Brady and the Patriots found out in the second half last week. The 49ers don’t really have a dynamic offense, so it’s not like they’re coming in looking to fire the ball down the field on the Hawks. Bottom line: it’s going to be a low scoring football game between two very good defenses going up against two very mediocre offenses. Rankings or statistics be damned, these are probably the two best defenses in football. So what’s it going to come down to?
It probably comes down to who can run the football and which team finds a little bit of lightening in a football. Either team could win this game, and the advantage has to go to the San Francisco 49ers, 4-2 this season (just like the Hawks), NFC Championship runner-up a season ago, playing at home, needing a win after a very poor performance last week against the Giants: but giving the Hawks 7 points is a delicious recipe for covering a spread, so I just can’t find it in me to take the home team 49ers.
Russell Wilson might be a rookie, and he might have low numbers, but there’s a little bit of magic in his game, and he certain won’t back down from a defense that will be set to stuff the run against the Hawks. That means a couple big chances from Wilson, and probably a couple big plays from a pretty underrated receiving corps. The Hawks won’t let the 49ers run game get going, and we saw last week that if the 49ers aren’t running, their passing show isn’t running on all cylinders either.
You all know my code: you never give a good team 7 points. The Hawks might be what some fools will call “overachievers” but anybody who knows this team knows that they’ve been improving at a very high rate. This is a good Seattle football team and nobody deserves 7 points against them, especially on Thursday Night where defenses usually dominate the show.