Virginia Cavaliers @ Miami Hurricanes Free College Football Pick

Virginia Cavaliers @ Miami Hurricanes Free College Football Pick: There’s a lot to like about the Cavs even though I’m only getting the public going against me on this one. The “experts” are with me, which is just something I’ll have to live with, as apparently I can be considered one of the many donkeys that tend to the title of expert. Maybe the “smart guys” see what I see in Virginia, a team that comes to play and puts up pretty good numbers on some decent teams. They stick close to most teams they play (even though they got battered a big by a lowly NC State team last week). They usually out-rush their opponents (all but one game this year) and have gained more yardage than all but one opponent. They are just about what their record boasts, a 4-3 team with some toughness. They play close games.

Miami also plays close games, and while they have put up some good points at times this year and beaten some good teams, they probably aren’t as good as some of their numbers. First of all, they get out-rushed a lot, and they score more points and give up fewer points than their yardage totals insists. At some point those things will get closer, why not this week?

Miami scores more than Virginia (which, in sports, is important – I concur) but aside from that, the Cavaliers rule the numbers. They gain more yardage and give up fewer yards. They hold the ball longer and don’t kill themselves with stupid penalties. In other words, I’ll take them. 14 points seems like way too many.

Virginia Cavaliers (+14) @ Miami Hurricanes (Thu)