College Football Free Picks: Week 5 Free Predictions
October 1, 2011 by luckylester
Texas A&M Aggies (-3) @ Arkansas Razorbacks
The Razorbacks are a little overrated. They can’t stop you defensively, and offensively they aren’t as talented as the Aggies. They are playing at home, sure, but I don’t think that can save them in this one.
Air Force Black Knights @ Navy Midshipmen (-3)
For the first time in a while, the Midshipmen actually come in the better team. They run the ball more consistently and with more success than Air Force despite playing against better teams. That’s good enough for me, I’ll take the home team in this battle.
Nevada Wolfpack @ Boise State Broncos (-27)
Nevada sure put in a game last year against Boise, upending the Broncos’ undefeated season and title hopes (though they’re a small school and nobody would actually give a small school a chance at a title – but that’s for another article). This year it will be different, I’ll bet on that. The Broncos are still elite and the Wolfpack have lost a lot of their luster. I say Boise 49 – Nevada 14.
Aurburn Tigers @ South Carolina Gamecocks (-10)
One more then I’ll leave you to the write-ups later in the week. Auburn and South Carolina – it looked like an Auburn bet to me until I looked at it a little closer. Originally I thought that Stephen Garcia’s turnover-prone antics would eventually be the end of the Gamecock’s undefeated start to the season – but that doesn’t look to be the case against Auburn. Despite having a solid run team, a great young RB, and an offense built to pile up yards – only once this season have the Tigers been able to outrush their opponents. That means that their defense must not be able to stop the run. Utah State outrushed them by 149 yards, Mississippi State nearly 100, Clemson by just a yard (but 188 through the air) and Florida Atlantic was just 29 yards behind the Tigers. What does that mean to you? To me it means they are in trouble this weekend because Marcus Lattimore is all kinds of beast – and he’s ready to big-brother the entire Auburn defense.
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