Green Bay Packers VS. Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl 45 Free Pick

Green Bay Packers VS. Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl 45 Free Pick: It is tough to go away from the Steelers as an underdog in the Super Bowl, so tough I don’t think I can do it. At first I thought the Steelers were obviously the best value on the board, getting points in a Super Bowl – being as good as they are, there was no other way to go. Then I thought about it and realized, by making them the dogs, Vegas was begging people to bet on Pittsburgh, meaning they obviously think Green Bay is going to win this one.

But I’m not real in to going with Vegas just because, and there’s something to be said for having been there and done that. The Steelers have, and the Packers haven’t. Aaron Rodgers is a stud, and it looks like a good match-up for him against the Pittsburgh corners, but I still have to go with the Steelers here – if anything, they rarely get the wrong end of the refs. Also, Big Ben has not only plodded through to Super Bowl victories, he’s led last minute comebacks and even thrown a touchdown late in the game to get a ring and hold the trophy. He keeps plays alive, and that’s big with a press/blitzing team like Green Bay across the line of scrimmage.

These teams are very-very similar. The Packers score 25.2 points per game and give up 15.3. The Steelers score 23.9 and give up 15.3 – the Packers are 13-6, the Steelers are 14-4. Both teams have 12 wins against the spread – both teams are good at home, but Pittsburgh was 7-1 on the road this season – while the Packers are 6-5 counting 3 playoff wins on the road. So they were 3-5 away from Green Bay during the regular season.

Both teams beat some great teams on their way to the Super Bowl, but this is the NFL, that always happens. Green Bay took out Philadelphia, #1 seed Atlanta, and possibly the best defense in the NFC, Chicago. The Steelers outlasted the Ravens and Jets, two of the most physical teams in football.

The Packers have been playing “playoff football” since Week 16 when they had to beat the Giants to stay alive in the playoff race. Then Chicago in Week 17 was the same thing. And of course the three playoff rounds that got them to the Super Bowl – they’ve played 5 must-win games in a row, and they’ve won them, obviously. And while that’s impressive, there has to be a breaking point somewhere.

These teams are very-very even – in my opinion, and I see no chance of a blowout. In a close one, I’ll take the points, the experience, and the quarterback that’s led a game winning drive to take home the trophy.

Green Bay Packers VS. Pittsburgh Steelers (+3)