New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks NFC Wild Card Weekend Pick
January 6, 2011 by luckylester
New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks NFC Wild Card Weekend Pick: Some numbers go against the Saints heading into Seattle for and NFC Wildcard game – some. Like the Hawks going 5-3 at home this season (compared to just 2-6 on the road). Another statistic looming for the Saints is the fact that in the last 9 games they’re 1-8 against the spread vs. a team with a losing record. Against the Saints earlier this season, the Hawks showed up pretty well as Matt Hasselbeck threw for 366 yards and a touchdown, completing a healthy 32 for 44 without an interception. Also, Seattle is getting 10.5 points, at home, in the playoffs – that should be an auto-bet right there. You add on to the fact that New Orleans lost both their tough running backs, Pierre Thomas and Chris Ivory, to injury last week – auto bet should be accepted.
But it isn’t, because the Hawks are making history. Not only are they the worst team to ever make the playoffs (record-wise), they are also quite possibly the worst team to make the playoffs (even when you completely ignore records).
I actually think the injuries to the Saints’ running backs makes this game an easier cover. Without the ability to run a lot, the Saints will undoubtedly throw more, and Drew Brees and company vs. that Hawks secondary seems like an unfair battle.
New Orleans should win easily over Seattle, the question is how much will the Saints unload on the Hawks – I say it’s at least a 20 point game.