Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers NFL Free Picks Week 17

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers NFL Free Picks Week 17: This game obviously means a lot more to the Packers than it does to the Bears, but it’s not like Chicago has the #1 seed, or even a guaranteed bye in the first round. This game not only means a lot to them in that regard (a win gets them a bye) but if they could pull off the road victory, they would keep a very good Green Bay Packers team out of the playoffs altogether.

Those are two big things, but the key part of this game is the huge spread. Green Bay is being treated like the golden team here while Chicago is getting 10 points as if they don’t expect to bother beating Green Bay at all. It’d be hard for me to believe that the Bears won’t be out to get that first round bye, keep the Packers out of the playoffs, and notch another win on their belts.

Green Bay needed to beat the Giants to have a chance, and beat them they did. In fact, the Packers killed the Giants and now they’re the favorite to get into the post season as a wildcard. At the very least, they are the only team fighting for that 6th spot that control their own destiny. Tampa needs the Giants and Packers to lose – and they need to beat the Saints. The Giants need to win and have Green Bay lose. All the Packers have to do is beat the Bears – and I think it has a good chance of happening; I just don’t buy the spread being what it is.

If the Bears had home field locked up, I’d take the Packers as two-touchdown favorites, but both teams are playing for something, and while the Packers are playing for more, it certainly isn’t 10 points more.

Chicago Bears (+10) @ Green Bay Packers