Week 14 NFL Free Pick Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions

Week 14 NFL Free Pick Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions: The Packers are 8-4 while the Vikings are 4-8 and Green Bay isn’t running away with their division. That’s because Detroit is leading the NFC North! Okay, farfetched, just kidding, it’s the Bears behind Jay Cutler (not really, behind their defense, actually) that has the top spot in the NFC North – but Green Bay still has a shot, and they need wins and lots of them to assure themselves a playoff spot. A loss to Detroit would really hurt them going forward, and that’s why I don’t see any possible way that the Packers come in and take a pretty decent Lions team lightly.

Detroit is 2-10, but that hardly tells the story. 2-10 teams are usually bad, real bad, I mean look at the Panthers, that’s a 2-10-type football team. Detroit has played a lot of very good teams tough. They did a better job than the Jets or Steelers did against the Patriots, and even with a back-ups back-up in a quarterback, they nearly (and probably should have) upset the Bears last week. They’ve played everyone tough. Don’t just look at scores, but look back at all their games entering the final quarter – they’ve been in every single one.

And the Packers don’t run the ball well. And that makes it tough for them to slam home victories and beat opponents up. I feel like I’m playing with fire taking the Lions getting just a touchdown at home against one of the best teams in the NFC while starting their 3rd string quarterback – but that’s what I’m doing. Sooner or later the Packers are going to see those injuries catch up to them against a mediocre team, why not this week?

Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions (+7)