NFL Week 16 Best Bets: Arses Free Picks 2010

Top 5 NFL Free Picks: Week 16 NFL Predictions

So… I was just 2-3 last week and here I am, two weeks to go, 15 weeks in the bank, up a measly $74… It’s like playing a penny slot machine, folks, and I’m UP!!! Unbelievable. Well, with two weeks to go I’m going to take a chance or two. What does that mean? That means -105 or -110 is for the lower 48 – not me folks, I’m an Alaskan. And true to my people, I’m rocking chances. I’m here to gamble. (Please let this not be a lesson…)

Starting Account Total: $1000
At Risk This Week: $500 to Win $885
Money Left: $1074 with $500 of that on the line
Total W/L Last Week: (2-3)
Season W/L Record – Individual Games: (39-31-4)

Week 15 Picks Review

Cleveland Browns (+1.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals (Bet $100 to WIN $95) (WIN)
Dallas Cowboys (-6) @ HOME VS Washington Redskins (Bet $100 to WIN $95) (Loss)
Arizona Cardinals (+2.5) @ Carolina Panthers (Bet $100 to WIN $95) (Loss)
New Orleans Saints (+1.5) @ Baltimore Ravens(Bet $100 to WIN $95) (Loss)
Atlanta Falcons (-6) @ Seattle Seahawks (Bet $100 to WIN $95) (WIN)

Get at me on TWITTER @AlaskanArse. Here’s a link to Week 1′s article if you need a little more explanation of the way I’m keeping track.

Here are Week 16′s picks and bets:

San Francisco 49ers (+125) @ St. Louis Rams (Bet $100 to WIN $125)
I’ve been a big supporter of the Ram-rods all year. They’re a solid team and they’ve played above their talent level and experience all season long. That being said, they’ve dropped the ball lately and the best team in this game is San Francisco. Sure, they know how to lose, but I’m gambling here, and the best team plus money is too much to pass up.

Washington Redskins (+250) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (Bet $100 to WIN $250)
The Jaguars aren’t that good. Maurice Jones-Drew, the height-challenged running back with two last names in which the Jaguars have piggy-backed all the way to a possible playoff spot, is (from what I hear) out for this game. The Redskins looked like a new team with Rex Grossman at quarterback. I don’t know if I’m feeling great, but for +250 I like my odds.

Seattle Seahawks (+245) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Bet $100 to WIN $245)
I’m going against my money-making Bucs to take a Seahawks team that got throttled by a team that barely beat Tampa twice this season. But this game will be different, and quite honestly, the Hawks defense played pretty well last week against Atlanta. Pete Carol’s always gotten his teams to play up in big games, and this is big for the Hawks. I feel a little wishy-washy about this one, but I’M HERE TO GAMBLE!

New York Giants (+145) @ Green Bay Packers (Bet $100 to WIN $145)
Oh, it’s over for the Packers. Sorry cheese-heads, lie I can’t. At 8-6 and living the “decimated by injuries” dream makes this a tough one even at home. The Giants have to feel like they “let ‘em off the hook” last week. They still have a playoff shot, and a chance to prove they’re worthy – this is a great game for them to assert a little dominance. Or they lose and I get to smile at the misfortune of Tom Coughlin and Eli Manning – either way, I’m golden.

New Orleans Saints (+120) @ Atlanta Falcons (Bet $100 to WIN $120)
The Saints should win this game – they need it more than the Falcons, and they’ll probably get it. I just think they are better defensively than Atlanta, regardless of what numbers tell us. That has to count for something, my gut, right?