Fresno State Bulldogs @ Boise State Broncos Friday Night Football Pick

Fresno State Bulldogs @ Boise State Broncos Friday Night Football Pick: I think this is an easy one. It’s amazing, how Boise State, almost always favored (1.5 point dog at Virginia Tech to start the season), and a public favorite even more often, can go 7-2 ATS. They’ve conquered 4 spreads of 34 points or more. They’ve won all but 2 games by at least 29 points. They are awesome on both sides of the ball, and they have one of the best coaching staffs in all of college football. So I must say, I’m interested to see how this one turns out, as I think the easy bet is Fresno State. Rarely can you say that when taking a team playing the Boise State Broncos.

Fresno State is 6-3 and they have never had a problem playing any team anywhere. They’ve lost a couple games this year, and it hasn’t always been close, but they play their best football against good teams. They just barely stumbled against Nevada, losing 34-35 against a very good Wolf Pack football team. Fresno State plays well on the road, and they have a toughness about them that’s impressive. They’ve out-gained 7 of their 9 opponents, often pounding their rushing attack. This will be their toughest foe, no doubt about it – and running the ball won’t be easy, but it’s hard to imagine this Fresno team getting beat by more than 30 points.

They haven’t yet this season, and only twice in the last 10 years have the Broncos beaten the Bulldogs by 30 or more points. Boise State has a history of covering against Fresno, 8 of the last 9 in fact, but never has the spread been greater than 21.5. This spread has big time inflation, and Fresno State is a solid team. I think taking them is easy.

Fresno State Bulldogs (+31) @ #4 Boise State Broncos (Fri)