Super Bowl XLV Odds to Win: AFC South, NFL Football Futures Bet

Here are some of my thoughts on the new “Odds to Win Super Bowl XLV”. I’m breaking it down into each division and dropping my thoughts over the next couple weeks. I hope you enjoy and get down with the breakdown.

AFC South
Houston Texans (35-1)
Indianapolis Colts (7-1)
Jacksonville Jaguars (50-1)
Tennessee Titans (25-1)

With chances of back to back trips to the Big Show wearing thin, I’m forgetting Indy. It was between the young and talented Texans and the running game of Tennessee, and even with a smaller payout, I think the Titans get my best all around bet in the AFC West.

Houston Texans (35-1): The Texans, talent-wise, have the ability to go from never in the playoffs to the Super Bowl – I mean, magic would have to happen, but this team has an improved offensive line and that talented and young defense is coming into its own. But I don’t know if they are coached well enough. I think the teams lack of understanding who they are is a big reason for their failure to get over the hump, and unless some things change this offseason with Kubiak and his staff, a Super Bowl seems unlikely.

Indianapolis Colts (7-1): I’m just not a believer in the Colts going back to back trips to the Super Bowl. If they do get there, yeah, I think they win it, as I just don’t see the best player in the NFL failing twice in a row on that stage, And betting against Peyton rarely is an easy thing, but with the uncapped year on the way, and big spending teams having more chances to pick up big time players, and the wear and tear that a trip all the way to the big game brings, plus a team that has been known for season ending injuries, I just don’t think the payout is high enough for the risk. I’d stay away from the Colts. If you still like them half way through the season, I’m sure the payout won’t be much different than it is now.

Jacksonville Jaguars (50-1): I don’t think the Jaguars’ defense is good enough to win a Super Bowl, and when you add that to the reality that this Jack Del-Rio coached team finds it basically impossible to win three straight games, I don’t know how a Super Bowl win can even be a possibility. Jones Drew is awesome. Despite what Del-Rio says, David Garrard is pretty dang good (and underrated) too. On both lines, they have some talent, but I’m not sure they are good enough. Skill players don’t get you all the way to the Big One.

Tennessee Titans (25-1): I think I would take the Titans over the Colts for a chance at Super Bowl success. Some will call me crazy, but this team turned it on late, and I think they have a chance to really succeed in the draft in terms of adding the kinds of players they need to become great. This is a huge defensive line draft, and they will get a chance at two difference makers at the positions. If they go for that, and make up ground on losing Haynesworth, I think they take the South Crown next season. Vince can win the big game, and his throwing has improved – yeah, at 25-1, this is my favorite bunch in the AFC South.

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