2010 Super Bowl Pick & Preview: New Orleans Saints VS. Indianapolis Colts
February 5, 2010 by luckylester
2010 Super Bowl Pick & Preview for New Orleans Saints VS. Indianapolis Colts: Betting against Peyton Manning has never been my favorite thing. The guy knows how to keep the clock moving, eat up all possible comeback time, win the game in the final minutes, or do all three simultaneously while shouting at the top of his lungs and pointing his fingers and hands in all directions. The guy is legit. But, in the end, going against him giving a handful of points doesn’t seem like a terrible bet, especially when you consider the Colts close game history and absolute comfort in playing the smart move every single time, taking the points, and doing everything they can to win. I don’t project this being a blowout victory for either team, but if that is the case, it’s been the Saints routinely beating up on the NFL’s best all season long.
This spread has danced around in awkward fashion, and while it got to 6 at many books, it’s now down to 4.5 in most places. I’m not sure why the number would be moving away from the Colts the closer this game gets to go time, and Dwight Freeney becoming more and more likely to play time, but that’s the way it’s moving. Still, about 55% of the public likes the favorites to cover, while almost 58% of the money line bet is on the underdog. What’s new?
But New Orleans has done their best work against the NFL’s best, seemingly stepping up to the challenge in nearly every contest aside from last week’s overtime win over the Vikings and Week 14′s loss to Dallas. In the Vikings game, the Saints were outplayed, few people can argue that, but they came out victorious and here they are. Still, New Orleans slammed playoff teams this year. Icing the Cardinals, Patriots, Eagles and Jets – better than doubling their opponents’ score in each contest.
It’s the Super Bowl, and every team reacts a little differently to this contest. First time teams have struggled of late, but New Orleans has to be the best of that recent bunch. I think this game will be close, two good teams with all around good units on both sides of the ball, and two of the league’s best quarterbacks to boot. I’m taking the points.